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Showing results for tags 'miller b'.
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Recently the pattern has shifted to a colder one that is northern stream dominated. With this, the models have been showing a shortwave diving down out of central Canada into the CONUS. The clipper has been trending a bit stronger on some recent runs, if that continues and it digs a bit farther south there is potential for explosive miller B redevelopment. The signal for explosive miller B cyclogenesis isn’t particularly strong right now, but it’s worth keeping an eye on. Even if that doesn’t happen, this will likely produce a light to moderate snowfall for many areas.
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I know the models aren’t showing hits yet, but the 500s tell a different story. This look is REALLY close to something big for the shortwave diving down for the 27th threat after the big cutter. The western ridge axis is still quite far west, but it’s not offshore anymore. The NAO isn’t super negative but it is still negative which argues against a progressive solution (why I’m not buying the wave spacing issues, I’m thinking the northern energy will be much slower to enter the country). If that ridge pokes up a bit more and links up with the decaying block, I bet we will start seeing big solutions on the models. It’s really not far from doing so, it only needs a couple minor adjustments. This is a legitimate big dog Miller B nor’easter threat. That northern stream energy is quite powerful, and the teleconnections are in a transitory state.
