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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. TellicoWx
    Definitely need to keep an eye on the weekend system across SE TN...Euro/NAM/CMC 12z suite showing 3"-5" across NW GA. GFS has similar range further south over Atlanta.
  2. TellicoWx
    12z Euro
  3. TellicoWx
    00z EURO is Lakes Cutter, ramps thunderstorms up Sun afternoon.
  4. TellicoWx
    Pic from Knox Mayor of a sinkhole just opened this morning in Powell
  5. TellicoWx
    Reports of a landslide on Northshore Dr in Knoxville now
  6. TellicoWx
    Don't believe snow is happening south of 40. Models have overplayed the reach of cold all winter, don't think this is any different. Region hopefully doesn't end up of the battle zone with stalled fronts. Much more of a NW shift on modeling and even the Cumberland region will be in the axis with these next waves.
  7. TellicoWx
    12z 3k drops heavy rainfall even with the first wave (Euro has hinted at this) over those areas
  8. TellicoWx
    6 hr totals...00z vs 12z...axis shifting north. Last thing the counties along the TN/AL border need.
  9. TellicoWx
    CMC very similar to EURO...GFS is alone with the southern solution.
  10. TellicoWx
    EURO keeps shifting the axis of heaviest precip more N...something to keep an eye on over next 72 hrs.
  11. TellicoWx
    Here's a big problem with the system pulling north (12z Euro)...its keeps inching the axis of heavy rainfall over areas trying to dry out.
  12. TellicoWx
    You know that run has to be right then lol
  13. TellicoWx
    Sig ice just south snow line..kuchera really hits E TN
  14. TellicoWx
    EURO close to something bigger at 156, still nails southern half TN
  15. TellicoWx
    ICON has a decent little event, while CMC crushes AR into W TN with ice.
  16. TellicoWx
    GEFS individuals...decent consensus at this range for someone across the upper south.
  17. TellicoWx
    Jump on the GEFS day 8...must be some big members
  18. TellicoWx
    00z EPS improved if you are looking for snow...HP over the Midwest isn't so overbearing and allowed more LP clusters to come NW along the Gulf and across the FL panhandle.
  19. TellicoWx
    GEFS and EPS are not far from that Euro Op run...its been there a few days. Definitely peaked my interest, while ops have been varied with suppression (Euro bias), individual members aren't varying as much on either ensemble. With the load pattern moisture wise we have been in, it would not surprise me. I actually give it a 30% chance at this range. Yeah would definitely be a kick in the junk. Something else I worry about, the extremely high soil moisture content and freezing temps. Once it thaws back out, risk of slides will only go up.
  20. TellicoWx
    No slides on anywhere here, unless it's in the CNF itself, off the roadways. Really has surprised me so far.
  21. TellicoWx
    CFS has been trending wetter into Cali (how that translates East will be interesting) and dumping cold into the Midwest.
  22. TellicoWx
    Overall, it was the 64th highest recording. SE TN mountains were spared the worst part.
  23. TellicoWx
    Broke the daily flow record here on the Tellico, prev record was 1962.
  24. TellicoWx
    That's my biggest concern here...heaviest rate look aimed more south of 40. River here didn't get to recede much and is right at bank full...need the stuff over N Al to weaken.
  25. TellicoWx
    Columbus, MS just took a direct hit
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