
TellicoWx
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Everything posted by TellicoWx
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Can see the vort max's the HRRR is picking up on for the plateau areas moving up C AL and SE AR/NW MS (enhance returns on the radar there)...just a race now with the dry air aloft to the NW. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
SE AR getting plastered with paste...Dumas, AR Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some more viewer pics to Brad from NW AL: Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Viewer submitted to Brad Travis...Pulaski, TN Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Moderate snow falling in Oxford, MS..HRRR doing a decent job downstream. Their temps are around 34, so sticking is the issue. But for the plateau where this won't be as big of an issue, it's a nice sign. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
16z HRRR Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
16z HRRR really liking the Plateau counties..wouldn't be surprised if MRX went with a WWA considering temps already below freezing in spots in those areas. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Noticed some of the PWS around Crossville ranging from 30-32 Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like decent size on the cam Corbin, KY Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Finally getting some video out of NW MS...Big fat flakes falling in Sardis, MS Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, trying to see which modeling is closer to reality. Couldn't find many reports out your way. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Fine flakes?..JW if the dry slot is messing with the DGZ out your way. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
00z NAM...the energy continues east to the mountains, with surface temps right around freezing. It would definitely be threading the needle, with a small window to put down some moderate snow. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Noticed on all the 00z modeling there is decent lift from Nashville east to the Smokies (for a couple hours while before the layer gets dry slotted)..00z Euro increased across this area as well. If that is how it unfolds..could see a nice 1-3 plateau (1-1.5 valley) area underneath the higher rates. The OPRH is supportive of the band. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
00z GFS sounding for Memphis, while somehow dropping 6" snow??? Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
00z RGEM Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
NAM listened to Holston on the speed lol Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
TellicoWx replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm not seeing anything in the MJO that says blowtorch warmth. Until we get the QBO to go negative (easterlies), research shows the MJO has less of an influence on the PNA/NAO. Couple that with it going low amp/COD..other drivers are taking over the pattern (intraseasonal patterns/base enso state/normal system temp variance). Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 1,666 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Either all modeling is catching on with the short wave coming on shore currently over CA or this is the biggest Lucy job in quite awhile (especially for you guys in middle/west TN) lol. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah definitely want to go with your 33% rule Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
0z CMC Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Big run coming for CMC...C AR / W TN (Memphis) big jump vs 12z Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
CMC following the suite trend so far with slower/stronger...snow breaking out in C TX this run Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Overall so far a nice 00z suite, with the exception of the NAM maybe overemphasizing the consolidation of the energy over C AL. RGEM was headed for glory lol. Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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12/10-11/19 Potential Valley Wide Snow Event.
TellicoWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It also followed the meso models (just not quite to the same extent) of slightly stronger energy Sent from my SM-S767VL using Tapatalk- 486 replies
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