Looking at the final runs that preceded the start in Little Rock and Memphis..so far GFS has probably been the closest for both. NAM did better for Memphis..Euro has been under for both.
Southern stream dynamics starting to fire over LA....AR dynamics is being driven off the northern stream. Where these two collide is going to be intense (all signs point to the eastern valley/plateau
Depends on the orientation between Mobile and Tallahassee...more perpendicular it is, the more it can disrupt transport. Seen the opposite as well if it is orientated NNW.
All the ingredients are checked off...enough cant be said how the timing couldn't have been much more perfect (overnight) to max out potential (takes solar aspect out of it). Someone in the southern valley is in for a helluva show.
Just woke up from mine, and about joined the stroke club after looking at the 18z RGEM (it's typically very close for my area). 12" line knocking on my backdoor.