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TellicoWx

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Everything posted by TellicoWx

  1. 3k Sim radar is a thing of beauty for central valley guys
  2. Now it wants to join the party...nope not allowed lol
  3. Temps starting to crash on north end of the county in last 15 mins..Madisonville at 33, Sweetwater 32
  4. I'm in same boat as you, and why I hate being in a "good" location on models. Temp and dew running way behind schedule now here... T-39 DP-31
  5. There threshold is alot lower but confidence must have increased for the cold push into those counties.
  6. For Chatt folks..FFC just expanded their warning area
  7. Looking at HI Res data, not overly concerned about Monroe/McMinn north. However, Polk and Bradley getting a little more concerned, I wouldn't want to be in those areas. HRRR has brought slightly warmer air but NAM extended it...they are kinda meeting in the Middle. The push from the high is just slightly less last few runs, but looks more like normal model wobbling. Which plays huge into those 3 counties.
  8. The artic boundary has moved across 75 here in Monroe Co, almost to 411 now. Easiest way to find it is using DP not air temp. When it passes DP begins crashing.
  9. NAM has an 80' deep warm nose (925-950)...unless that nose originated from Hades think it's overdoing the frz ra
  10. Also noticed when the heavy banding setup, the accum map didn't match up to the omega
  11. Yeah almost looks convective in nature..supporting heavy bands
  12. Sleet reports far east as Tupelo...seems way ahead of schedule
  13. Yeah front has but the cold push is lagging...this is mainly for Monroe/Polk/Hamilton
  14. Front is not as fast here for the SE corner...6z HRRR showed 38, 12z 40, 16z 42...obs mid 40s. Something to keep an eye on.
  15. OBS time...not sure any model had freezing rain reports around Houston
  16. Think back to storms past, lots of us have done the cliff dive, especially along 75...only for a Lee to get in better view under 10-12 hrs to go.
  17. Lee side enhancements in the valley are not usually picked up well until almost now time. Add in the high ratios it has to work with, definitely think that may be too low. Someone (possibly a lot of someones) are about to get nailed with 12+ if that Lee materializes.
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