ILoveWinter
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Everything posted by ILoveWinter
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2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
ILoveWinter replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
ICON is def a northerly outlier wow. Today's runs will be quite telling. -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
ILoveWinter replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Isn't this the op run which was on the northern end vs the other ensembles? -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
ILoveWinter replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Yea it's about rates and dynamic cooling. Accumulation will happen if we have both regardless of antecedent airmass. The same is true for the opposite scenario, just look at the paltry accumulation in NYC during that 2nd "event" a few weeks ago even though the airmass in place was plenty cold. Rates just stunk. -
8 days until we see precipitation (10 going back to Saturday) is pretty dry if you ask me, especially considering how wet and awful it's been.
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Def an over performer, was forecasted a few tenths and over by now.
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Yes and it took millions of years to go through those big climactic shifts whereas we are effecting change over a vastly shorter period of time. Does this really need to be explained? smh
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Exactly, he's such a troll. Not saying it will happen and it of course would be better in February but first two weeks in March are legit in the immediate metro. Definitely gets dicey after that, though better N&W obviously.
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A "hell" of a lot easier for Canada to be put back in the freezer in Jan vs. mid Feb? Come on man, I know you are a warm weenie but that's pushing it. Also it's not like there was a ton of snowpack before the January cool down and it still happened - and quite fast mind you.
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That's pretty crazy that you posted this at the exact same time of mine!
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Just out of curiosity, when was the last time we had a sunny day or even saw the sun?! Feels like we've been in the gloom for a long while.
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Regarding the lack of interest on this storm, do we not remember the countless posts over the past few days that basically said it's impossible for us to get a meaningful snow storm in this pattern?! Sort of put a damper on things. It's still unlikely that this one works out for coastal sections but crazier things have happened in hostile patterns. We are in favorable climo for this sort of thing to occur.
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Well snowman pretty much always weenies you!
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Would be remarkable to pull off something meaningful in coastal areas in this hostile pattern so my view is to expect nothing. Literally anything would be a bonus!
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Yes agree that on the very first one it was due to the UHI effect. But the last two was a combo of UHI and track which is why even areas 30 miles north and west didn't cash in.
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True the concrete jungle of nyc does impact snowfall and is a factor into why it is in the hole but notice that it extends 30 miles or so north and west, areas that have a lot of vegetation/forests. So unfortunately, the tracks of the past two storms were just not favorable for areas in this area/hole. Bad luck.
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Steady light snow in the UWS
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Looks like barely anything of the 2 inches that fell has melted, even here in the City. Honestly I'd take this over 5 inches which is gone by the next day - a "wintry" appearance / feeling is what many of us enjoy.
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Yes even in the UWS, still a very wintry scene. Edit: Especially now with light snow falling
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True but I think a component of our average is due to above average winters where we get a KU (or two in some cases). Without those, we get these nickel and dime events such as this past Sunday / Monday's event.
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lol was just about to comment on that, though maybe they have not yet updated after this morning?
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It was sort of a bust for many in the sense that most of the models kept on bumping totals up even up to game time. Not an epic bust or anything.
