Jump to content

ILoveWinter

Members
  • Posts

    1,312
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by ILoveWinter

  1. Yea this is true. Honestly if this was happening in the Fall or in a warmer airmass with no P type forecasting then we would be saying the RGEM was the most consistent. It’s only now where even small ticks east or west can mean rain vs. snow which provides a sense that the model was terrible when in fact the correction was small.
  2. So the GFS has an 8 or 9 inch crush job in the City and the RGEM has basically nothing and we are less than 2 days away. Just goes to show you how difficult it is to forecast snowfall for coastal areas of the northeast.
  3. Certainly could be but I’d be more comfortable with 3-6 if things look that way tonight on most models. Also it’s for the immediate metro, it’s higher N&W with better ratios.
  4. I think at this point 2-4 is a good call for the immediate metro with less as you go east. Even that would get me excited as it's been 2 years since a sort of moderate snowfall in the City.
  5. If it does end up snowing several inches in the Park on Sunday, it could help to cut a few degrees off this forecast
  6. Coming down at a nice clip in the UWS, I can see an inch or slightly more by the end of this
  7. Coming down decently in the UWS, def a white/wintry scene outside
  8. That cold during early to mid January was epic! Snow and ice seemed to be on the ground all winter. Was amazing and agree it won’t be matched for a looong time (if ever with new climo)
  9. Def supports it, it’s as good a chance in a few years. Only thing we need is some luck with the timings/phasings…
  10. Same with us within the very immediate metro, it’s been a few years since a solid moderate snowfall. While it has snowed many times, it hasn’t always accumulated.
  11. Just can't catch a break here. I think it's comical that we go from cutters or storms with no cold air in place to an overly suppressed set up. I can deal with the first two but the confluence induced dry walls are the worst.
  12. If it happens it happens, these past few years have taught me to keep expectations well in check until 2-3 or so days out. Hey, at least we are tracking something that actually has potential! Feels like an eternity since the last time.
  13. Unusual these past several years to have any sort of event with a solidly cold airmass in place. I’m so used to borderline scenarios where snow struggles to accumulate in the City.
  14. No official report, I’m close to the park and I’m eyeing around 1.5 but haven’t had a chance to go outside yet.
×
×
  • Create New...