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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. “flooded with Pacific air for weeks” is a bit dramatic, no? also i thought Webb was an idiot lmao
  2. nah, Dec 2013 actually started and ended warm
  3. @snowman19 seems like you don’t think the trough will retrograde? if this truly is acting like a Niña we should see the jet relax and the trough will retrograde as a result
  4. that trough is going to retrograde and likely pop a nice +PNA. it’s transient
  5. that Aleutian trough likely retrogrades and pops a nice +PNA. pretty Nino-like
  6. notable trend to buckle this S/W for Sunday. might as well watch to see if this continues, could be a light event
  7. notable trend to buckle this S/W for Sunday. might be looking at a 1-3” event if this holds
  8. i never see the point in completely canning the majority of a month when parts of SNE just got their first accumulating snow of the year last night. it looks pretty crappy but stuff can just pop up sometimes also there looks like a warm front / WAA light snow possibility tomorrow night. maybe an inch in spots. it's something
  9. this is total ass verbatim. we're going to warm up for a week to 10 days. just a matter of if it holds on through the holidays my inclination is that we break colder around Christmas but we'll see
  10. there’s actually a lot of AK ridging showing up that’ll inject colder air into the flow. it’s really just a matter of allowing the TPV/lead wave providing enough push to drag the boundary south is it a long shot for most? yes. but it’s not that ridiculous
  11. the twitter special. can’t make it up
  12. I understand what you mean, but wouldn't the vorts also be weaker in the W US if part of it is a function of latitude? why do the vorts seem to be so much stronger in the West than in the East? we're talking about the same latitude... hence why I think some of it is also bad luck. the vort ejections have just been crappier here than there
  13. speaking of disgust, it's always morbidly amusing how when we get a trough, we gets vorts like this: meanwhile, the W US and Rockies get a trough for 36 hours and they get screamers like this: the worst thing is that I'm not sure if you can even really chalk that kind of random crap up to anything more than bad luck. agreed that it's insanely frustrating how almost everything seems to not break our way. hopefully our luck changes soon
  14. why are we discussing the 16 day OP GFS in this thread at all? good or bad
  15. yeah, Murphy's Law still has quite the grip on us. what can you do? in the mid-2010s we probably would have gotten a SECS out of this pattern
  16. even when the jet retracts, the lingering AK ridging will keep Arctic air in Canada and in the western and central US. it’s definitely AN for a bit, but it’s no torch
  17. even when the jet retracts, the lingering AK ridging will keep Arctic air in Canada and in the western and central US. it’s definitely AN for a bit, but it’s no torch
  18. even when the jet retracts, the lingering AK ridging will keep Arctic air in Canada and in the western and central US. it’s definitely AN for a bit, but it’s no torch
  19. too low resolution it seems. could easily be some mixing there is the model is underdoing the warm nose
  20. FWIW the ECMWF did move towards a more GFS-like northern stream at 06z. look over western Canada
  21. I think you’d rather want the GFS type solution… there’s much better cold air and confluence in place. wait too long and you can run into thermal issues
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