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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. i don’t think anyone here wants any of that right now lmao
  2. EPS has some retrograding Scandi ridge action happening which is always nice
  3. pretty much splits the difference between 12/18z. about what I would expect
  4. i would urge caution at this point given that it’s just one run with a jump like this but the 12z GEPS also shot north and the ICON had a similar evolution with a lobe of the TPV tilting the trough
  5. i didn’t want to ruffle any feathers with that stuff lmao
  6. trend with the confluence is clear as day on the EPS
  7. EPS with a huge shift. much less confluence and a stronger vort
  8. my thoughts haven’t changed all that much
  9. if i'm going to be in your head this much you could at least ask me to pay you rent
  10. honestly, even if this amps more and confluence ticks north, there's enough cold in place that I don't see how you guys wouldn't at least get a front end +SN thump to usher in the pattern. the antecedent airmass is very cold
  11. those are heights, not thicknesses. it’s a very cold setup
  12. straight out of the Mid-Atlantic weenie handbook
  13. yeah, this is a pretty sick hemispheric signal as the block decays and PNA spikes around that time. definitely the larger scale threat
  14. NE doesn't need a -NAO whatsoever... most of BOS's major storms have no correlation with the NAO. they're all -EPO/+PNA driven
  15. this is why blocking patterns are so favorable... watch how everything slows way down and allows for a phase, albeit messy. a +NAO pattern wouldn't even be close to one
  16. this is why blocking patterns are so favorable... watch how everything slows way down and allows for a phase, albeit messy. a +NAO pattern wouldn't even be close to one
  17. yeah, this is really impressive agreement on a cold and stormy pattern on all ensembles
  18. this same thing happened last year in mid-Feb where ABE got 12" of snow on like 20-30:1 ratios from a clipper with a FGEN band
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