brooklynwx99
-
Posts
6,041 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by brooklynwx99
-
this look is in the medium range now... best Pacific pattern I've seen in a while. there will be a bunch of opportunities after this week's system
-
^ point proven
-
there are some patterns where you do have to worry about cutters, but this is absolutely not one of them. I'm not concerned that there are some random LR OP runs that show them when the ensembles look this good at day 8. there have been OP runs that have shown multiple coastals as well, like last evening's 18z GFS not even sure what some of the "pattern is getting pushed back" stuff is about. the PV is in SE Canada in the medium range and this is as good as the Pacific has looked since 2014-15
-
-
wish you stopped posting
-
let’s wait until Monday to get too excited, but this is an amazing look
-
holy shit. this is an unreal look. lots of split flow too
-
FWIW the GEPS is also going to show more coastals… farther S Plains ULL and lower heights over the NE US
-
GEFS has gone from a cutter to a coastal in one model cycle, as predicted given the block
-
keep in mind that the -NAO blocking is also decaying during the timeframe for the late-week storm, which is also a precursor to some of our largest events -
oops!
-
GEFS continues the trend of more CAD, a weaker bowling ball S/W and lower downstream heights
-
this is a significant trend at 500mb. makes sense to have a shove S given the anomalous 50/50 and ridging in central Canada this is certainly worth keeping an eye on
-
GEFS ticks towards a stronger secondary LP again
-
what exactly am i missing? myself and a bunch of others have been persistent in saying that a favorable pattern would evolve after the 15th or so, got ridiculed for it by people worrying about absolutely nothing, and now everyone that was ridiculing is flipping back to the snow train on a whim. it's weird behavior
-
-
I'm favoring redevelopment for this system with a block that strong as well as a strong ULL out in the Atlantic like that... the models should continue to correct. there are already some strong members near the Delmarva that likely deliver from CT northward this deserves watching over the next few days
-
I'm favoring redevelopment for this system with a block that strong as well as a deep ULL out in the Atlantic like that... the models should continue to correct. there are already some strong members near the Delmarva that likely deliver from CT northward
-
here, though, we're likely going to see some better transient -NAO spells... those winters have insanely positive +NAOs, so we could see slower evolutions here
-
we're in for it after that "cutter" mid next week that'll probably just redevelop given the block in Canada and ULL to the east that -EPO ridge into W Canada that builds poleward is drool worthy. this is all moving forward in time, too. there are going to be some high end chances during the latter half of the month
-
dude
-
seems like it's been strengthening, as it should with all of the wave breaking going on in the Atlantic. the GFS/GEFS was handling this aspect horrendously recently
-
really nice to see the EPS maintain some of the WB -NAO blocking, which helps lead to the slight 50/50 signal. it also has the -EPO oriented such that there's ridging into W Canada, which will dump cold farther E and lead to less cutters
-
holy crap
