brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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i get what you mean. I just meant that the favorable pattern is here right when everyone said it would be minus like 2-3 days. lots of people did a great job with that and now we have a system with nuke potential to track -
the exact result doesn't even matter that much. all that matters is that this is an absolutely classic look
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idk. i think the pattern supports this kind of outcome. we'll see where we're at on Monday but I don't see this vanishing into thin air
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i thought the can was being kicked
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the OP run verbatim isn’t really the point. seeing a 500mb configuration like that is incredible. it shows up for the largest events
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this is classic. not much else to say… God tier run coming
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holy shit. here it comes
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looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
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looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
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looks like the 06z EPS would end up more favorable than 00z... stronger block would lead to more confluence, and the initial vort is stronger as well. wish we could see this play out
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nothing quite says snow like screaming 40 mph winds off the 50 degree ocean
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this is one of the most insane signals i’ve ever seen, no joke. the upper low is already closing off on the mean
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the 50/50 popping up thanks to the increasingly strong block really helps you guys. this is a tremendous storm signal if the blocking forces it underneath, there’s basically no ceiling to this setup haha
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holy crap. what a look
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wow. what a look
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i really like the 23rd now that the block has gotten stronger. completely flipped the downstream pattern - went from a WAR to a 50/50
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most of the members are now offshore as a result
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the EPS has trended much more favorably with the blocking and the resulting confluence. this increases the chance of the 500mb ULL to slip underneath and really raises the ceiling
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confluence is much stronger this run due to the better block. this greatly increases the odds of the ULL going underneath
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EPS is much more favorable with the confluence ahead of the system of interest… thank the stronger blocking. it’s really a gorgeous block
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all that really matters on the 12z ECMWF is that we saw a bunch of changes that increase the likelihood of a significant event: more favorable PNA ridging block is now cut off into the Davis Strait and is stronger more favorably placed 50/50 ULL this all leads to a much better outcome in terms of seeing a highly impactful storm. I think the blocking is forcing this, for the most part
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speaking of exertion of more -NAO... look at the correction towards a much stronger -NAO over the last model cycle from the GEFS
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I will take my chances 10/10 times with this look. the potential is sky high here
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this is the type of potential next week holds. this is just an insanely dynamic solution you get that over the ocean and George wouldn't even be hyperbolic about his description of it
