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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    GFS made a pretty significant improvement in the NS... let's see if it's a legit correction
  2. brooklynwx99
    GFS is bringing back the transient blocking, important to see if that holds
  3. brooklynwx99
    hair away from a nuke… wow
  4. brooklynwx99
    JFK has been reporting FZRA at 32 for almost an hour on a 15-20 mph NNW wind.. might be some issues soon as there's lots of precip to go as temps continue to drop KJFK 042043Z COR 33016KT 4SM -FZRA BR BKN007 OVC020 00/M01 A2989 RMK AO2 P0009 T00001011
  5. brooklynwx99
    really nice upcoming pattern with a 2 sigma ridge over British Columbia and split flow. should get some higher-end chances after Super Bowl weekend
  6. brooklynwx99
    really nice upcoming pattern with a 2 sigma ridge over British Columbia and split flow. should get some higher-end chances after Super Bowl weekend
  7. brooklynwx99
    this is about as good as it gets without -NAO blocking. 2 sigma ridge over British Columbia and split flow
  8. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF is notably colder
  9. brooklynwx99
    GFS continues to compress the height field over SE Canada… leads to a crippling solution verbatim this solution can’t be thrown out, as very cold air filtering into a wave of LP is similar to what happens in the Plains. this is an anomalous setup
  10. brooklynwx99
    the GFS being this cold is certainly a red flag. it often underdoes CAD, so I would imagine that it would be even colder at the surface if this synoptic setup verifies with a 1044 mb HP in an ideal spot for cold air drainage scary stuff. let's see how this trends over the next couple of days
  11. brooklynwx99
    SN BLSN, down to 24. probably at 4-5" but the drifting makes any accurate measurements impossible
  12. brooklynwx99
    I tried earlier, and it's not even really possible anymore. there's so much drifting
  13. brooklynwx99
    heavy, blowing snow in Bay Ridge. winds probably gusting up to 40 mph
  14. brooklynwx99
    absolutely dumping in Bay Ridge. very gusty winds as well
  15. brooklynwx99
    ripping here. tiny flakes, but quite windy and the flakes are coming down fast. some BLSN as well radar looks immaculate. metro and E are in for a good night
  16. brooklynwx99
    wow… 700mb FGEN draped across the NJ coast into NYC
  17. brooklynwx99
    incoming!
  18. brooklynwx99
    what a joke
  19. brooklynwx99
    banding is headed into the metro, here we go
  20. brooklynwx99
    gorgeous
  21. brooklynwx99
    frontogenesis is a tightening of a thermal gradient, which can help signal vertical motion, in this case, at 700mb. it's probably helping force the snow over there right now
  22. brooklynwx99
    700mb FGEN has developed over JFK-ACY-ILG
  23. brooklynwx99
    HRRR might be reeling it back in…
  24. brooklynwx99
    this is unreal way more amped when everything was east at 18z
  25. brooklynwx99
    exactly. if I was solely basing this off of the mid and upper levels, I would go 10-16" or even 12-18". PVA is aimed right at the metro, the 700mb closes S of LI, and the jet dynamics are nearly perfect however, there's some weird stuff going on at the surface. I'm not discounting it at all, it could be right, but I just can't be confident in a depiction like that
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