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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. i get your point, but could you imagine the weenies thrown if the ensembles showed the TPV west and a ridge popping over the east and someone posted a loop of the D12-15 OP showing a cold pattern? they would get clowned
  2. yeah, why use the ensembles when you can use a random OP run
  3. the -PNA is temporary. that trough in the west swings through and it's full steam ahead
  4. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  5. Arctic blocking going insane on the GEFS
  6. excuse me, you said that's a +NAO? in what world is this a +NAO
  7. the 10th percentile for NYC on the EPS is like 10”. anything but skewed high
  8. this is with like 12-18” on the mean already btw
  9. and this is before this pattern sets up. absurd
  10. absolutely locked in on the GEPS and GEFS. rotting block in place over the Davis Strait and elongated TPV in SE Canada
  11. trying not to be hyperbolic but it's insane. how is the mean that lit up with the block not even having decayed yet? that's when you usually get the big dog
  12. just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that mean. the block is still strong over the Davis Strait. the largest storm from this pattern likely hasn't even occurred yet and NYC/BOS still have 18" on the mean. wild
  13. just so people understand how absurd modeling is getting for mid-late month, this is the GEPS through 300. insane amounts of snow this is the pattern during that snowfall mean. not after the block breaks down, which is when you'd probably get your largest storm. it's beyond lmao
  14. if this is "not bad" then expectations have gotten ever so slightly inflated
  15. GEPS is ridiculous. has 15" on the mean with this pattern still in place
  16. the shift in confluence is pretty notable. the evolution is much more similar to that of a Miller B than a SWFE at this point
  17. the CPC forecast is based on the GEFS, which looks the same. those indices aren't really that useful since they provide no context
  18. why use your eyeballs and your brain to analyze the pattern when you can doom over some pressure calculation developed like 40 years ago?
  19. those index charts are such bullshit. this is a -NAO, full stop
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