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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    GFS is a nice hit. stronger vort and lower downstream heights help press things south a bit
  2. brooklynwx99
    it's a meso model at the end of its range. I wouldn't get too worked up over it unless it holds that solution for another day or two
  3. brooklynwx99
    yeah same up here. I think it's pretty much impossible to expect something that good down into the DC area, but it is analogous! the punting of Feb earlier this year doesn't seem to have a leg to stand on... there should be continued chances
  4. brooklynwx99
    even on the GEPS it’s pretty weak with a lot of cold air nearby
  5. brooklynwx99
    that pattern really reminds me of Feb 2014
  6. brooklynwx99
    lol. just looking more and more like 2013-14
  7. brooklynwx99
    yup. EPS has been consistently pressing it down
  8. brooklynwx99
    EPS just beating down the SE ridge
  9. brooklynwx99
    EPS is just beating down the SE ridge
  10. brooklynwx99
    EPS is NW of the OP, similar to 06z
  11. brooklynwx99
    yup, definitely continues the NW trend here
  12. brooklynwx99
    EPS is going to be NW of the OP. vort actually looks a bit better than it did at 06z
  13. brooklynwx99
    GEPS is wetter and a tick farther SE
  14. brooklynwx99
    also, soundings for NNJ from the GFS would be more like 15:1 rather than 10:1 given very cold temps and lots of lift in the DGZ. although kinda early to talk about SLR, these kinds of Arctic waves often have pretty good profiles for higher ratios
  15. brooklynwx99
    should get a pretty broad precip shield given that we're in the left exit region
  16. brooklynwx99
    the 22-24th period is a modeling disaster. best to not tie yourself down to any particular solution and let things settle themselves. both the GFS and CMC are equally viable at this point
  17. brooklynwx99
    my point
  18. brooklynwx99
    most predictable NW trend ever
  19. brooklynwx99
    yeah, more amped with higher downstream heights
  20. brooklynwx99
    lol
  21. brooklynwx99
    just a small shift in the consolidation of the vort leads to big changes on the ECMWF here
  22. brooklynwx99
    EPS looks better for the 22nd. more amped members than you’d think
  23. brooklynwx99
    also has a decent signal for the 22nd with the trough tightening up more
  24. brooklynwx99
    EPS looks good!
  25. brooklynwx99
    EPS is actually pretty damn solid for the 22nd. lots of hits with the trough swinging a bit more
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