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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. this can def work. legit overrunning chance, anyone from DC to BOS should be watching
  2. this is probably the best shot at repeating a Feb 2021 type stretch (sure, ended up not awesome for the MA, but you’d run it back) in quite some time. hopefully we can cash in… we have high end overrunning potential around the 25th and then a more prototypical big coastal chance as the -NAO decays and the PNA rises
  3. this is probably the best shot at repeating a Feb 2021 type stretch in quite some time. hopefully we can cash in… we have high end overrunning potential around the 25th and then a more prototypical big coastal chance as the -NAO decays and the PNA rises
  4. another animation, I know, but this is how you get a MECS. retrograding Scandi block, 50/50 ULL, PNA rising nothing is guaranteed, but this is how you pull it off
  5. it probably moderates for a week as the Pacific jet overextends but you'd probably get another window as it retracts
  6. obviously nothing is guaranteed, but that is what you want to see if you are big game hunting
  7. this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
  8. this is eye popping. classic MECS preloading and pattern progression with the retrograding/decaying Scandi block, rising PNA, departing 50/50 ULL and amping trough over the E US
  9. lol summer (weather wise) sucks balls. we get no legit severe weather and watching my street flood a few times a year does nothing for me. sure, socially it’s more fun the tropics are cool at times
  10. AIFS-ENS with a significant shift west, 0.5” liquid to BOS down to E LI
  11. the RGEM is actually really similar to the AI models... has the main precip with the PVA ahead of the main vort
  12. the Pacific trough pumps the PNA... that's part of the reason why it usually torches after big storms as the jet overextends
  13. yup. first, moisture pushing into a cold dome and then a shot at a retrograding block to end the month. can't ask for more at this range
  14. lol it only nails it if the solution is crappy. we've seen it amp up and do interesting things only to fall flat on its face
  15. it’s a bit more consolidated and precip is a bit farther west but still, not great
  16. notice how the vort is less involved in the broader trough… way more legit PVA here compared to the previous run as it pivots
  17. yeah, in between. nice to see with the AI looking good and the CMC likely coming in amped
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