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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. this signal has really grown since yesterday
  2. yeah, we have seen this signal grow since yesterday
  3. i see zero reason to deviate from 6-10" for the city and about 8-12" here closer to 287... using mostly a RGEM/ECMWF blend with some consideration for the NAM very strong 700mb FGEN will allow for rates up to 2"/hr for a time midday into the early-mid afternoon. should be a fun day tomorrow
  4. if the Pacific jet does not overwhelm things and push the trough axis too far east, then no, not really
  5. no joke, this pattern is how you get a storm like that. two distinct vorts and a massive block rotting in central Canada encouraging a phase. the flow slows to a crawl
  6. lol how is this like every other SWFE in the last 5 years? temps are in the teens and you can get 2" per hour rates
  7. the fact that the CMC is a clear amped outlier and still delivers sig to borderline major snow is a testament to how favorable this setup is
  8. CMC looks like a clear amped outlier so far at 00z... even then, it's still 6-8" for the metro with some mix at the end, which shows how good this setup is
  9. i doubt that happens with this kind of mid-level forcing moving in
  10. the 10th percentile on the EPS is a significant event. take a breath
  11. exactly, the WAA is insane and i find it hard to believe you guys do without sig snowfall. it's just so cold going in and the 700mb FGEN will be off the charts
  12. it's still uncomfy for you guys, but i still think most of the damage is done before any mixing... nobody should be complaining about 8" of snow in like 4 hours followed by some mix. if the mix does end up occurring at all
  13. everything still looks good here for a significant snowfall, some sleet potential at the end when precip is dying down notwithstanding
  14. tough to ask for better here. textbook aloft for significant impacts
  15. i couldn't care less if some pellets mix in after 8-12" of snow
  16. the WAA is so insane that this is really hard to fuck up for MD/DC. the UKMET drives the low to Buffalo and you still get 12" of snow
  17. lol if this hugs the coast it's because there's a blizzard ongoing
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