brooklynwx99

the AIFS humping is going to be unbearable for a while. past 5 days it isn't as good as any other model, really

he shits on every storm threat that has ever formed

i saw people even comparing this to Jan 2015. that was on a totally different level of fail. not even close

yeah, trust me, it was one of the more stunning model collapses in the last several years. absolutely sucked

yup, I will reassess in 2030 or so. the sample size is just too small and we could get blasted a few times to close the decade for all anyone knows. people also thought the massive WC ridges from 2013-15 were going to be the new norm. how laughable that seems now

i mean, it is, but 48 hours is a bit much. the models capitulated and it totally blew, but it was at 120-144 hours out. that happens. we're in agreement that it would be a different story if we were inside of three days god, i can't wait for an effective El Nino. hopefully next year

that's kinda silly. that attitude is borne out of frustration rather than anything scientific

yup, some people never understand that good patterns just increase the odds for snow, not guarantee it. we literally just saw that play out this week!

anything of substance to add? no? no wonder why mets barely post here anymore. doesn't seem to be an issue in other subforums

we'll have more chances into March. cold with -AO/-EPO persisting

yeah, it is absolutely not over

I'm banking on shorter wavelengths and a weak WAR to help us out here

this is quite a bit healthier. like seeing the -AO over the top too. pretty solid

@Rjay lol

the upper air pattern absolutely supported a large storm. that's what's so brutal about it. the "background state" stuff is bordering on pseudoscience. nobody can even truly explain what they mean when they say it