Looks like a great convergence zone on south shore. Nnw winds over lake wsw winds on land. May only last a couple hours but from Orleans county to wayne county could get 4 to 6 inches in a couple hours.
I am in walworth and can say every now and again. We get a foot plus from that convergence zone from bay. And being on east side radar sucks in Eastern Monroe and almost all of wayne county. Almost never see it on radar
Nice write up explaining micro climate for upcoming event. Saying some 6 inch plus amounts possible in eastern monroe western wayne county. 3 to 6 in general niagara to wayne county Monday evening into Tuesday
This next lake event may be a sneaky one for roc. Could easily see 4 to 8 north of thruway. Models only putting out .2 to .4 for county. But will likely be 25 to 1 ratios or higher if winds aren't to hi
I suspect this will happen on teusday. Models show artic front and shuts off lake snow south of Ontario. But most likely will be a spray of snow radar won't pick up.