Maybe I am off but I think what way be helping is the primary is actually digging se a bit after tomorrow into kentucky and wv while high is about to exit.
The farther south this gets going the better. I like seeing the warnings in North Carolina. The primary looks to be almost digging into apps. Causing the ridge to build in atlantic.
Anything after 48 hours on nam is a crap shooter. It waffles and lags usually to globals. Could it be correct yeah. It sniffs out trends. But the look is diffrent than 12z or 18z.