NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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IIRC this first window wasn’t even the one he liked the most - but point taken. Onboard with the Bob Chill storm
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Maybe a slightly further north and more dynamic precip shield then modeled. dc dusting seems plausible tomorrow and again Thursday before the HECS-that PSU-promised finally happens in late Feb early March
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It’s 19 and snowing on Mar. 3. I’ll take the under. 30”+ kuchera for the 5 day period. Seems legit. But glad the @psuhoffmanwindow(s) live
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Smacks us pretty good. Weenie run tonight.
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I’m open to it - just not gonna put too much value into 8” EPS means if they pop up 4 days from now
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Realize this is a place for optimism, but had to share this graphical version of our epic fail. Snow signal just poofs
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I gotta say - the NWS 1-in-10 chance for this storm is a trip
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long range HRRR T-1" for folks largely Thursday morning as the last of the energy swings through
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actually probably just 1 more would do it... in a universe where the 12k nam is also right
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4 more north jogs like 18z to 00z and we get like 3-4"... just taking it slow. I was never out on this storm
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Mood flakes up to DC would be a nice little win
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Valid - wasn't sure from people's "sky is falling" takes if the relax was actually temporary. Thanks!
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Is your pattern back?
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Between Wednesday and a little Thursday… EURO gets DCA to a Kuchera inch.
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Never say die
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The NAMs nailed the Jan. 2016 storm impacting NYC at like 48hrs out when nothing else had it. Consider this that but on a much more modest impact level
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It gets the Kuchera 1” line closer to DC. Not by much, but mood flakes could be on the table.
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Maybe they were headed south? I doubt VA Beach has too many plows on hand
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UKIE literally just said what storm? Like zero precipitation anywhere on the east coast Edit: okay some for obx
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GFS has something in the area on the 25th. Just throwing it out there… not expecting it to stick
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Yeah, his scale is just higher than mine. I’d knock everything down 4” and agree with the map enough. Too aggressive
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I see that - still think it’s possible which is why I was defending that map as not insane. If I was making a map right now I’d have DC in the 1-2” range with RIC 4-8”… some iso 8-12” on the VA/delmarva beaches
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hope ya’ll cash in… mentally toying with the idea of a roadtrip. If anyone isn’t a murderer and has an open basement, feel free to DM me -
It’s the GFS/EURO with a 50mi NW jump. I don’t think it’s insane. I was looking at the GFS and thinking that in a normal winter I’d be okay with where it’s at 3 days out. With the strengthening confluence and seasonal trend tho I imagine we’re toasted tho think 2-4” is salvageable for dc metro
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@psuhoffmanis that your your alter ego in the comments?
