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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. My weenie take is that I don’t think the EURO AI can handle tight details like p-type. Would also be why the ens have a snowy bias.
  2. 12z GFS is close to something better on the 6th but I’d still take an easy 0.5-1”
  3. I’ll probably chalk this one up to it being early December, personally
  4. Making a very modest adjustment upward since I think we get off to a relatively hot start for December BWI: 13.4” DCA: 11.1” IAD: 15” RIC: 8.5” SBY: 9.1”
  5. At some point my weenie brain made a mental note that Phase 8 is secretly all that matters. I’m sure that’s wrong, but I hope some part of that is right
  6. EPS median looks nice end of week. Love having two events to track in the MR
  7. Cold day for UVA v. Tech. Gonna have to represent at Scott anyway. Goooo Hoos!
  8. Had a tease for the 6th. Does seem like that the 6th is another “real” window at least. All I can ask for at the start of the season is a few chances to keep me busy.
  9. It is but I forgot how north the GFS was at 18z. More mix this run at least.
  10. It’s soooo close for DC. Still wicked - 28 and ice. 10” if you don’t go too far NW. All I care about for now is more to track for the next 10 days.
  11. EURO also has a big storm wayyy out there Dec. 10 or so.
  12. For posterity - snows on the front and backend.
  13. It’s AIFS Ens or bust at this point. Fun early season exercise at the least. Hope we get to try again sooner rather then later
  14. If it is broken, that would be why imo. @Jidid you say you can see the individual AIFS members? Or just in WxBell
  15. Got the median for the AIFS thru 138 - pretty impressive. Not caving to the parent. Still waiting for the mean.
  16. AI EURO consistently and stubbornly south - kinda on it's own now if I'm remembering the 12z cycle right. We'll see what its ens do
  17. yep, think it's gonna be icy. CMC and it's para were icy last night so it's at least consistent. Canadian models love ice and I swear they are always too cold
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