Jump to content

NorthArlington101

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,913

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I think it’s unlikely the follow up storm ends up anything but suppressed this run. Join me on the Jan. 5-6 dark side. It’s fun for everyone!
  2. NorthArlington101
    Will’s map doesn’t tell the full story - goes HECS N MD and north. Close to a banger for everyone.
  3. NorthArlington101
    00z EURO is a very solid hit on the 6th… maps coming.
  4. NorthArlington101
    I'm just looking at 24hr snow means/medians but thought the 6th was neutral and ya'll improved for the 8th.
  5. NorthArlington101
    it's very good - honestly. It's no babygirl, though.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Gets a little suppressed and can’t quite finish the pummeling. But better!
  7. NorthArlington101
    retroactive
  8. NorthArlington101
    Was gonna say it’s snowier on the wxbell maps
  9. NorthArlington101
    GFS looking real good for the 6th. Almost sent a Jaws but worried it could fizzle/suppress
  10. NorthArlington101
    I think it will work, that’s why I’m so grumpy! I don’t need to go into the theoretical discussion over the benefits of mean vs. median again, the median is fairly strong too — around 3” for the whole period. I was excited to see the Jan 6. event appear on the 24hr median - first time the EPS has had something like this at range all year. It’s quite modest, as any 24hr median will be at range, but I view median as “this is the bar.” My bar for Jan. 6 is increasingly that winter weather will happen.
  11. NorthArlington101
    EPS really quite surprised for the 8th-10th shot. Won’t speak to the H5 but it’s a notable step back from 00z. Maybe a hair better for the 5th-6th
  12. NorthArlington101
    GEFS looks better for the 7th-8th then precious runs, btw. I’d still be worrying about suppression but the signal is much better.
  13. NorthArlington101
    pretty much - i think it's gonna suppress the 9th/10th into the GoM. Isn't even that cold locally either, dc gets to 32 some of the days
  14. NorthArlington101
    GEPS still like Jan 3-4 a bit. Still 140 hours out somehow
  15. NorthArlington101
    EURO suppresses the Jan 5-6 storm.
  16. NorthArlington101
    idk - this looks like a nice spot to be in. Need a little colder
  17. NorthArlington101
    storm after the storm after the storm, see you Jan. 15
  18. NorthArlington101
    It’s really close on Dec. 7… in the range you just said you wanted it to be on the GFS!
  19. NorthArlington101
    NYD looks fine - maybe some snow TV in the PA/OH part of the journey? Won’t pretend I can look at a map of Wyoming and predict mountain snow but the drive mostly looks chilly with some snow showers plausible
  20. NorthArlington101
    the SC/NC/GA mets have been very excited about this pattern. Would love this to work for all parties!
  21. NorthArlington101
    idk if that bodes well for the 8-9th either - don’t you sorta need the 5-6 storm to cut?
  22. NorthArlington101
    I know very few people are interested in this period given the potential shown elsewhere but GEPS received the Jan. 4 threat last night and even the OPs have been showing something on that date on recent runs. Idk how this impacts downstream for the later, more HECS-y opportunities.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Kuchera always lies but given that is falling when temps are like 10F you could probably 1.5x those results too.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, I don’t think enough was made of that run last night. During the daytime that would’ve have garnered enough posts to shut this forum down. Ultimate cold smoke blizzard run just happened overnight.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Widespread 8-12”. We take. Maybe I can fly out a day late?
×
×
  • Create New...