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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. It is north but looking at the site that gets the data early it looked like it worked out. Could be a p-type error, though.
  2. CMC looks good on the early maps, but a bit norther-er. Crew that lost snow on the 00z GFS won’t be happy.
  3. I thought you said you didn’t want it to jump north
  4. GFS fairly consistent with where the globals/some of the HI-RES are placing the best squall.
  5. Rumor is the snowstorm is trending south and following me to Puerto Rico. If you get your own flights, I’ll take $100 from anyone who wants to crash in my AirBnB. Apparently the power is back online
  6. True. Big problem here too is a “4 hour earlier trend.” This coming through at 3pm vs 7pm matters near the metro, annoyingly
  7. uh oh… I’ve let in the NYC subforum.
  8. Some of us are mature enough to handle it! one of my favorite things to do to measure how screwed we are is check the other sub forums. They lack our biases
  9. I posted the sounding earlier… I think it’s really all sleet despite what this says, but who am I to question WxBell. It also dumps almost all of this in 3 hours. Don’t think it would accrete as much as help glaciate anything.
  10. hate to see @brooklynwx99 posting in the NYC forum. That’s when you start to worry
  11. It's wetter/better for everyone D.C. N, but you don't have to squint your eyes to see a north bump from 12z -> 18z in this larger trend gif.
  12. I think it's sleet, not FRZA, despite the maps depiction - apologizes if I'm somehow getting this sounding wrong. DCA never goes below freezing. Problems emerge around 4am and hold til 1pm.
  13. Sorry Mappy… you saw the 18z EURO. Time to close it up and turn on the old thread.
  14. EURO brings the precip in before temps crash enough.RA/SN mix, snow where it’s heavier.
  15. Every time a LR thread gets long/busy they’ve made a new thread. Been this way for years. @Weather Will you’ll still get credit for kicking off the pattern!
  16. It’s better - in pretty close line with the EURO really, just slightly less wet. A hair south but really just noise.
  17. The wetter storm cancels out the faster/souther mostly. A better run… kinda forgot how bad 12z was.
  18. Yeah, NAMs say some lucky person could pick up 1”+ in a squall.
  19. I’d be feeling pretty good about a widespread 4-8” with 6-12” upside if I was gonna be here Monday. Probably gonna need to do a weather detox until the storm passes once my flight leaves for my own sanity, lol.
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