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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Someone better get a good screengrab of the Local on the 8s closer to next Monday when it's snowing show. Iconic childhood memory (sorry to age folks) is being 9 and seeing all of the 2009-2010 storms appear on the Local on the 8s. Couldn't believe my eyes when that thing said 2' of snow possible, lol.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Yeah - the reason this isn’t as awesome as the EURO has been when you flip to Kuchera is that the ICON is warmer at the surface than other guidance. Held my tongue on that til you posted that since it’s the ICON, lol. It would all stick, but it’s like 31 in DC. Takes up til MD/PA border to get into the mid-20s. Seems to be on a bit of an island, but I guess verbatim ratios wouldn’t “save” folks this time. It’s pretty much the 10:1 map.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Yeah just like that ICON is south - though still a good hit for everyone except those on our far northern fringes. Ratios probably get this to warning-level snow for nearly everyone.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Agree - the models are bringing this disturbance through as snow showers and squalls. Hopefully widespread. RGEM shows maybe a best-case scenario.
  5. NorthArlington101
    This lost a little steam overnight. Let’s see if we can regain our .5” means today. Just want a real snow shower.
  6. NorthArlington101
    To be clear, 2/3 runs does not a trend make, but these are the "shifts" from 00z to 06z I noticed flipping through my phone this morning. North is the thing I'd be sweating still if I had more skin in the game, just because that's because we've been burned that way previously. Probably irrational lol but fears are learned through experience. These do also show a general ramping up of higher snowfall odds in general... take that to the bank folks!
  7. NorthArlington101
    I don’t disagree - in general love the spot folks are in. And definitely taking @Bob Chill’s last few messages into account that it might be worth worrying more about a south shift. Just doing worst-case scenario thinking. Would love 5-10” of snow cover when I get back!
  8. NorthArlington101
    Yeah - this is what I’m tracking today. Unlike what @Ji said yesterday, storms come back from the south. When things go north, it’s harder. We got lucky twice last year, though.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Good night!
  10. NorthArlington101
    Modern art, splotchy, avant-garde snow maps are so in in 2025
  11. NorthArlington101
    The KU when this cracked pattern relaxes is gonna be
  12. NorthArlington101
    You’re so good man - no worries. Prob gonna bounce between suppressed and too far north another 3 times. Can’t believe this is still 5-6 days out. Exhausting.
  13. NorthArlington101
    When I see your posts I have to remember you live in PA now
  14. NorthArlington101
    Early trends are a little slower and less confluence, giving us better spacing but also allowing this to maybe sneak to the north more. Pros and cons. However, since the storm keeps getting pushed back… even more runs to the final outcome!
  15. NorthArlington101
    I’ll deb. Just seeing where the snow has fallen leading up to this storm… this isn’t traditionally a winner. We were lucky to get the WAA this run + some modest coastal development. Surprised people are so enthused. In the game, yes. But I’d’ve preferred holding south. YMMV
  16. NorthArlington101
    I should be put in charge of the PBP, just saying
  17. NorthArlington101
    @ravensrule
  18. NorthArlington101
    At 145 looks like it shreds? Surprised
  19. NorthArlington101
    This thing isn’t even close to the region at 4:00am Monday. Really pushing back the timeline
  20. NorthArlington101
    Definitely norther at 117. Almost UKIE-like… not an official prediction
  21. NorthArlington101
    Feel like there is less confluence pushing down at 114
  22. NorthArlington101
    If this storm keeps getting pushed back a day I might get back from my vacay in time
  23. NorthArlington101
  24. NorthArlington101
    ~.2” of it. Checked that out as well.
  25. NorthArlington101
    I checked the median and >3” & >6” percentage maps ready to deb but it’s a slightly better run across the board. Not an obvious south or dry shift.
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