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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I think it's sleet, not FRZA, despite the maps depiction - apologizes if I'm somehow getting this sounding wrong. DCA never goes below freezing. Problems emerge around 4am and hold til 1pm.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Sorry Mappy… you saw the 18z EURO. Time to close it up and turn on the old thread.
  3. NorthArlington101
    EURO brings the precip in before temps crash enough.RA/SN mix, snow where it’s heavier.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Every time a LR thread gets long/busy they’ve made a new thread. Been this way for years. @Weather Will you’ll still get credit for kicking off the pattern!
  5. NorthArlington101
    It’s better - in pretty close line with the EURO really, just slightly less wet. A hair south but really just noise.
  6. NorthArlington101
    It’s .2” more for your backyard than 12z!
  7. NorthArlington101
    The wetter storm cancels out the faster/souther mostly. A better run… kinda forgot how bad 12z was.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Looks faster and less organized at 99
  9. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, NAMs say some lucky person could pick up 1”+ in a squall.
  10. NorthArlington101
    I’d be feeling pretty good about a widespread 4-8” with 6-12” upside if I was gonna be here Monday. Probably gonna need to do a weather detox until the storm passes once my flight leaves for my own sanity, lol.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Just for fun - the P>=6" is centered right where most of our folks are. Looks better every run, too!
  12. NorthArlington101
    I've been neglecting my thread - 12z EPS
  13. NorthArlington101
  14. NorthArlington101
    Pretty much as solid as you could want it.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Since I ain't gonna be there this is rich - but agree with the cautious optimism. Fairly narrow zone that gets the true goods - 100mi wide? The usual last-second shifts we get are gonna screw someone in this region. Most should see something, in fact if the EURO is right (and has been consistent) most do very well. But a little glad I won't be sweating the last second 50mi shift one way or the other.
  16. NorthArlington101
    I'm out to 1/9 but looks unlikely based on the players on the board
  17. NorthArlington101
    EURO rockets out so fast you can barely do PBP. Posted and refreshed 3 times and that was it
  18. NorthArlington101
    Slight jog north but mostly noise - Precip maxima shrank a bit.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Snowing at 111 - mix line norther (I-64)
  20. NorthArlington101
    Essentially identical through 102
  21. NorthArlington101
    I think the 10th has a better shot to be the event S/SE snow weenies have been dreaming of for years.
  22. NorthArlington101
  23. NorthArlington101
    FYI to everyone - you can get the CMC a little early in color out to 120 here: https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Does look like most will like the 12z.
  24. NorthArlington101
    lot of this for VA/NC border is ice
  25. NorthArlington101
    I also would've guessed north... not a good run verbatim.
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