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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Ens all have a little something... would say GEPS > AIFS Ens > GEFS > EPS in terms of most-to-least interesting.
  2. NorthArlington101
    When I first wake up and am in the interlude between sleep and getting up I often hallucinate realistic enough 6z runs and forum messages reacting to them. I've got a real effin problem
  3. NorthArlington101
    It's got it, just buries it into the Gulf of Mexico and struggles to get it up the coast once it crosses over Florida. Goes OTS
  4. NorthArlington101
    I said I’d be good but I lied. Still sweating the NAMs. If the NAM can get me back to 5” I’ll be okay
  5. NorthArlington101
    Looks good to me.
  6. NorthArlington101
    You and @mattie g need to step into a cage match and settle the is sleet cool discussion or not
  7. NorthArlington101
    It pops up randomly on guidance but CMC had it today
  8. NorthArlington101
    It was still drifting north when the run ended. probably. Just like seeing a HECS there at this point. Gonna try and get less attached to this one
  9. NorthArlington101
    Congrats VA/NC border
  10. NorthArlington101
    CMC is really weird. Kinda shreds the storm in half and is now pummeling VA beach/NC
  11. NorthArlington101
    still going - can't fit it in a whole kuchera and the previous storm makes it tricky. But it's like 20"
  12. NorthArlington101
    Pt. 1 Pt. 2
  13. NorthArlington101
    I've said it before but this is HM's storm. The storm this weekend is gonna suck because I kinda called dibs on it. Or Chuck. Neither of us deserved it.
  14. NorthArlington101
    Not close to over yet but it's a NESIS 5 kind of thing
  15. NorthArlington101
    Run it back?
  16. NorthArlington101
    CMC also kind of smokes us with the midweek refresher. Not to distract us from the larger dog
  17. NorthArlington101
  18. NorthArlington101
    who's got the big ones lock in early chart?
  19. NorthArlington101
    Some really weird handling of the LP transfer. Sleet line evaporates down south as it tries (and fails?) to go off the NC coast before reappearing over all of Virginia as the MSLP eventually runs up the Apps. Idk what to make of it minus it's probably a toss.
  20. NorthArlington101
    I'd post the CMC pretty maps but CMC/GEM and RGEM/RDPS are essentially the same model so why bother. Only big difference I see is the RGEM really slams us during the transition period, which is in line with how this usually goes.
  21. NorthArlington101
    Schools will close or delay for cold these days - of which there will be plenty regardless of a sheet of ice and snow. I find it pretty unlikely most of our wimpier districts have school next week. But tbd
  22. NorthArlington101
    The GFS and the RGEM/GEM aren't world's apart. 3hr difference on the flip. Both pretty solid on the thump. If the EURO shows a 5-6" thump I'll chillax.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Didn't realize how late the flip was for 6z... this is actually a bit earlier of a flip. Still later than most guidance. Hug to your heart's content.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Doesn't want to flip D.C. til right after 1pm. Hope it's not the worst model in the world.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Thump is wetter thru 6am
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