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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I’m not quite as excited as some other folks here - baby steps at h5 only going so far. Think most of this is the IVT (which I do think has a shot).
  2. NorthArlington101
    This finding it's way into being a canonical Nina blizzard makes sense. Long as it's something we can cash in a litttle bit as opposed to the storms we can't name
  3. NorthArlington101
    If you run the last four back it's hard not to see a slight NE trend in the best totals but still gotta hope we're just gonna meet in the middle to an outcome that is about half of this
  4. NorthArlington101
    Temps on the GFS aren't awful... 32/33.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Kuchie clown just for @MN Transplant
  6. NorthArlington101
    BWI gonna be over 20” 10:1.
  7. NorthArlington101
    I think we’re counting on rates to overcome in this depiction. Not sure Conn Ave will cave during the day
  8. NorthArlington101
    GFS is still a bomb
  9. NorthArlington101
    I'd say we bust low on temps as we have all week but we know that's not likely
  10. NorthArlington101
    IVT after dark is probably the best non-GFS solution that's on the table
  11. NorthArlington101
    Then we need to get the GFS to slow down or we need to create our own cold air Or drive west
  12. NorthArlington101
    Agree - just the NAM has 3-5" OTG for DC proper at the time. Stuff to resolve there. Willing to blend the two for now and rely on 3k tomorrow Could always make it a heckuva chase... start in the Shenandoah's, drive to assateague...
  13. NorthArlington101
    that's a color you don't see much
  14. NorthArlington101
    Temp related 100% but that's how the screwjob would happen. DC starts as rain, coastal happens too west, then we miss the IVT
  15. NorthArlington101
    1/3/22 was the last GFS coup. I was in Puerto Rico. Thought it couldn't be right for days, that it would cave. Then...
  16. NorthArlington101
    3k shows the DC disaster gap but it would've filled in a bit on later panels
  17. NorthArlington101
    I'd rather be in the Virginia' delmarva but not gonna kick a 6-8" NAM run out of bed
  18. NorthArlington101
    It's not gonna be nuts but a solid warning criteria storm for most of us
  19. NorthArlington101
    You gotta like your spot for this one. How is your guest bedroom situation?
  20. NorthArlington101
    If I don’t get at least 6” the only thing the GFS will get is hate
  21. NorthArlington101
  22. NorthArlington101
    IVT might be pretty nice on this run. Need ptype maps
  23. NorthArlington101
    maybe a tenth more… all but final
  24. NorthArlington101
    This isn’t quite the final btw I got a lil impatient
  25. NorthArlington101
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