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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Yeah, this 12k run isn't really any better. Prefer to see what the 3k has to say but this was the range yesterday I said I'd start to care about it. Really hoping it's wrong.
  2. NorthArlington101
    I'm honestly not that impressed - looks like .17" of precip for DCA from 42-45? We need more
  3. NorthArlington101
    meh - next panel critical
  4. NorthArlington101
    It is interesting that the HRRR models 850 as the more aggressive warm nose. Guess that would be worse for FRZA because there is less time for it to refreeze? Probably also not worth overanalyzing.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Believe this does include sleet, based on previous discussions in here.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Feel like it’s EURO without the ability to discern sleet/snow/FRZA
  7. NorthArlington101
    This may age pretty well
  8. NorthArlington101
    Fair - WxBell 10:1 maps have about half of that so I guess it likes the ratios, which isn’t crazy. Probably over analyzing the FV3 at this point. I’ll say you win
  9. NorthArlington101
    I may have blinked and missed things today but I thought we were supposed to wake up to more than 2” at 6am. I’m willing to cave to being wrong, though. Guess every flake sticks even if it’s not heavy from midnight-6.
  10. NorthArlington101
    It would probably be fine but it barely starts in DC until like 6am. Storm is gonna start Monday at this rate. This was supposed to start tomorrow night at one point!
  11. NorthArlington101
    3k precip through 7am is anemic. Jeez.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Unfortunately the ens seemingly can’t factor sleet/snow. Still a lot of total wintry precip
  13. NorthArlington101
    Thanks to @nw baltimore wx and @nj2va for joining me for a happy hour! Always nice to meet more folks. Cheers to all models caving to the GFS
  14. NorthArlington101
    Post was in reference to a digital snow run that had 4” of sleet and not a lot of snow. 7 days ago that was an epic fantasy run. Now we’re all mad about it (not all, but ya know)
  15. NorthArlington101
    Well I only checked because it screamed robot to my human brain. I don’t do that to everyone’s posts (though maybe I should)
  16. NorthArlington101
    I’m on mobile so I can’t move this to banter but it’s HILARIOUS how this was an awesome, epic fantasy run and now we’re gonna be miserable if this is the outcome. Perspective shifting, honestly
  17. NorthArlington101
    meh too slow - no map before hr96 is real!!
  18. NorthArlington101
    Looks like my job got stolen. I'll let @SnowenOutThere post the final totals at hr96. It did cut back a bit near Richmond/SE Virginia, so it's hopefully the start toward a compromise-ish solution? But technically it's better than 12z, so I guess the camps widened in some respects.
  19. NorthArlington101
    Gonna give ya'll the pretty maps then go meet @nw baltimore wx and @nj2va at a happy hour... still not too late to join us at Succotash in 20m!
  20. NorthArlington101
    Correct
  21. NorthArlington101
    sleet line doesn't really move from here the rest of the run
  22. NorthArlington101
    DC flips by 78 but we'd still be happy. 8" non-Kuchera.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Precip looks to end up delayed not denied - wetter at 72
  24. NorthArlington101
    Looks a bit slower toggling back and forth on WxBell. But like an hour or two. If you think it's drier you are probably also right
  25. NorthArlington101
    Glad to know I can still detect a robot
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