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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. by having a minor surgery on the day the flight would be! Aspen might have less real snow than DCA. Also I don't actually like skiing
  2. Since when were you supposed to get snow for this threat? Taking our snow again
  3. I may be beating this drum too hard but the AIFS (and its ens) cannot deal with mixed precip. It's all gonna be shown as snow. It's ens quite frankly might show cold rain as snow. Gotta view it with a hair of skepticism, but would rather have it on our side
  4. The ~162 event is a modeled ice storm but temps are very marginal. Probably the elusive 31 and rain. Close enough at range though
  5. Also I am feeling happy that I dodged the trip to Aspen for PD weekend. I knew that timeframe was unacceptable.
  6. I mean verbatim that would do it, right? Looking forward to the WxBell version of that panel
  7. Kinda shears out. Agree it's odd. But the GFS run also looked a little funky so maybe it's just a funky period
  8. Radar looks pretty interesting out west. Guess we'll see if it can make it over.
  9. CMC has something similar looking. Not nearly as good*, but there *talking about DC - cville/south will prefer this
  10. Ya'll can make threads for wimpy events in the southern part of the larger subforum. Don't think anyone would delete them.
  11. Wind sucks. My only solace at this point is not living under massive trees and having underground power lines. Any outages/damage will suck tomorrow with the frigid temps at the same time.
  12. Where are our western posters? Curious if there is any ground truth there. Looks earlier than I'd've expected.
  13. Not sure why you are harping on this so much - but here is the 3day period for PD weekend. I would probably consider the 5 days the whole of that threat window anyway. But as for “literally” the weekend… maybe 90%? The Thursday threat adds like .3” on the mean.
  14. It’s total snow out to 264 - 95% of which is from the PD weekend. Median climbed up to 2” as well Problem with the AIFS Ens is they can’t tell mix/cold rain apart from snow sometimes. Don’t know if I trust them.
  15. It’s always a great argument when you bring in your salary! Really tells me you are comfortable in your own expertise.
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