NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm
NorthArlington101 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think I look the like of the NAM thus far thru 51 , but I’m no @SnowenOutThere -
The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm
NorthArlington101 replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
AIFS ens a very minor tick better, but when you’re talking tenths of inches, ya take what you can get.
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Not bad and close to a decent bit better. Think I'd rather be @Bob Chillright now but think we're still in the game.
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if there is a Dec. 2018 redux, I'll be in town!
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Dec 2018-esque
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06z ICON was a step in the right direction. 12z NAM looks rather improved. Just looking for hints that we are headed the right way on this one. Still got plenty of time.
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UKIE pulls off a 2-3” storm for Friday/Saturday. Better the UKIE than the ICON?
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it’s usually a 10m bike ride for me to work… brisk but not too bad even in winter. Begging my gf for a ride tomorrow morning lol
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Can’t bring myself to wake up tonight to see the 3 minutes of snow we’ll probably get. Hopefully we’ve got better days ahead
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We’ve got this covered here - go to Deep Creek! I’m also happy to keep an eye on the place on short notice.
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Expect some solid pics of the 4-6”!
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Wouldn't be bad for a good chunk of ya'll. Wish our favored friends the best!
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EPS mean for Friday-Saturday is a paltry 0.5" or so across the region but that's better then the 0" it had at 06z. Gotta bring her back slowly AIFS mean is 1-1.5" but it clearly does a terrible job of factoring out ice/mix, which does still seem to be in the cards for that time period, unfortunately.
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EURO also dials up several shots next week - doesn’t look boring. clippers on the 8th, 10th, and 11th.
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I edited my post but it is crawling up the coast. WxBell shows some ice for DC - did kind of assume that precip would’ve been snow
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12z EURO should be better. Actually has a storm somewhere in the area
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Was debating a sick day travel up your way but hoping there will be a much better shot not too far away. Now I just gotta figure out my bike commute into the office tomorrow… sounds miserable
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AIFS is back in on Friday/Saturday - just about 2” everywhere. Need to see if anything else can come aboard.
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Big flag for me is that not only do no other models show this, the HDRPS (highest res Canadian) shows nothing like this minus for the mountains. Given that model is the Canadian member id think has the best shot at this… I’m out
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AIFS mean (which obviously has some problems, so take as you will…) for Fri/Sat
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AI is still a nice 2-3” for Friday.
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12z EURO not all that interested. Real sloppy looking storm verbatim
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My weenie take is that I don’t think the EURO AI can handle tight details like p-type. Would also be why the ens have a snowy bias.
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Lock it in for Friday.
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12z GFS is close to something better on the 6th but I’d still take an easy 0.5-1”
