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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    At minimum all of this is snow on the GFS AI: Most of us lose 700mb by a hair between 72-78... where totals jump to this. Lot of sleet after.
  2. NorthArlington101
    Warmest surface temps I can find. No matter what Ptype, this is gonna be pretty sick at least. Really hard to do this around here.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Correct:
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
    GFS is a 1’+ for everyone, and I pretty much mea everyone. Hope it’s doing okay thermal wise. Nice to see the hires FV3 also chilly.
  6. NorthArlington101
    The period HM was honking wasn't the storm this weekend really... it was next week and the first week or so of February. Food for thought.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Warm layers can 100% race north quickly, though I'm still not gonna worry about NAM ptype until tomorrow at 06z at earliest
  8. NorthArlington101
    From my 4 years in Cville... it can hang on a bit more with the CAD. Honestly, I think you'll do fairly similar to a lot of NOVA on this storm, though that take might age badly. Don't think you really sleet that much more, think you turn to sleet sooner but also start a bit sooner. Really significant FRZA seems increasingly unlikely to me. Feel like it's snow -> sleet for most of us.
  9. NorthArlington101
    One day you have to go outside of work hours! I think we've had this convo before, but I live fairly close to Other Half in Ivy City. Come to Succotash today too Not as beer-adventurous as Other Half, but it'll be fun.
  10. NorthArlington101
    I've been telling people to always leave an inch or so at the bottom so nobody is trying to straight shovel sleet. Figure most folks won't be starting at CC radar and wanted to keep the advice generic.
  11. NorthArlington101
    @yoda something in your settings says you can't receive PMs - hoping to see you (and anyone else here) at Succotash DC sometime between 5-7pm! I'll be in a pink button-down. If anyone wants to join and wants my cell #, message me.
  12. NorthArlington101
    Don’t think a single GEFS member is <6” at DCA. Going to bed with hope - good luck with the EURO!
  13. NorthArlington101
  14. NorthArlington101
    UKIE like 15”+ 10:1
  15. NorthArlington101
    93 on UKIE sleet approaching
  16. NorthArlington101
    Crushed from 84-90
  17. NorthArlington101
    UKIE gonna stay in the good camp. Solidly snowing at 84 with the mix line still down near RIC
  18. NorthArlington101
    We already saw the RGEM so we’ve basically seen the CMC. 6-8” thump then we mix. Hopefully that’s the floor.
  19. NorthArlington101
    10:1 if you are a ratio skeptic. Also was probably .5” more on the other Kuchie maps. Whoops.
  20. NorthArlington101
    In theory, yes. I’d tag @high risk for confirmation
  21. NorthArlington101
    Hope that new recon data meant something
  22. NorthArlington101
    15”ish kuchie for DC + mixing
  23. NorthArlington101
    My maps show mix line tickling dc here
  24. NorthArlington101
    Holding at 93
  25. NorthArlington101
    Fair… about identical but it’s on the edge at 90. No movement at 96
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