hi-res FV3/GFS sends the band even further south. Should probably wisen up and just assume we won't know til it happens like our best people have said instead of living and dying by each run. Goalposts still fairly wide
Yeah, the drier sucks. Storm moves out faster - looks more like other models TBH. NAM being soooo wet was an aberration. This is fine with me but I'd prefer the 06z
48hr HRRR owes me an inch for today still. Always prefer to have every piece of guidance snow on me but I'm okay losing this one.
I'll hug the 12k NAM, which promised @Bob Chill 4" of snow today at 12z yesterday. I'm sure that's panned out well.
Yep - definitely a hold. EURO itself is an outlier to its outlier members with how snowy it is but nice to have it in the range of outcomes.
12z EPS mean - the median is essentially identical.
12z EPS 90th percentile
I'm pretty loyal to WxBell's UI - especially on mobile - but it does tempt me. Tomer Berg also at this point has almost everything for free so if I was smarter I'd just switch to that.
Definitely debating an angry email with a threaten to cancel. WxBell is already a premium product with what you can get for free out there. EURO can't keep getting stuck
Like the slightly wider strip of success. Still pretty scared with this storm honestly, but a verbatim borderline WSW criteria run from the EURO at 3 days out can't hurt.
No way to know what's correct right now. Sure we all have our preferences - and we're all still in the game. Fingers crossed for an outcome that benefits as many folks as possible.