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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. EURO a little futher southwest with the best stuff. Gonna be a nice DC-Annapolis run
  2. GFS not a "make everyone happy" run but it did get wetter and expand it's band a bit.
  3. hi-res FV3/GFS sends the band even further south. Should probably wisen up and just assume we won't know til it happens like our best people have said instead of living and dying by each run. Goalposts still fairly wide
  4. If I was to make a snow map I think I'd make it look like the 3k NAM. Looks about right.
  5. Yeah, the drier sucks. Storm moves out faster - looks more like other models TBH. NAM being soooo wet was an aberration. This is fine with me but I'd prefer the 06z
  6. 12k NAM looks pretty darn similar through 42. Maybe a juuust hair south. Don't have the nice maps yet.
  7. 48hr HRRR owes me an inch for today still. Always prefer to have every piece of guidance snow on me but I'm okay losing this one. I'll hug the 12k NAM, which promised @Bob Chill 4" of snow today at 12z yesterday. I'm sure that's panned out well.
  8. RRFS replaces the NAM, right? Nobody should look at its 18z run for this storm, lol
  9. I’m being delusional. If nothing has ran since, it’s the best guidance we’ve got still. awaiting my 5” storm
  10. I’m still hugging the 12z EURO. Pretty sure no models have ran since
  11. Yep - definitely a hold. EURO itself is an outlier to its outlier members with how snowy it is but nice to have it in the range of outcomes. 12z EPS mean - the median is essentially identical. 12z EPS 90th percentile
  12. I'm pretty loyal to WxBell's UI - especially on mobile - but it does tempt me. Tomer Berg also at this point has almost everything for free so if I was smarter I'd just switch to that.
  13. Definitely debating an angry email with a threaten to cancel. WxBell is already a premium product with what you can get for free out there. EURO can't keep getting stuck
  14. Like the slightly wider strip of success. Still pretty scared with this storm honestly, but a verbatim borderline WSW criteria run from the EURO at 3 days out can't hurt.
  15. If 12z EURO doesn’t mix precip maps suggest 3-4” 10:1 for DC-Balt corridor
  16. At least I took my grumbles into banter, lol
  17. might be time for a delete of the storm thread if the EURO shifts badly
  18. GEFS is a tick NE with the best stuff - that's my biggest worry for MBY... losing this to PHL-NYC
  19. No way to know what's correct right now. Sure we all have our preferences - and we're all still in the game. Fingers crossed for an outcome that benefits as many folks as possible.
  20. GFS pretty steady - very slight tick north but it's got such a tight band every tick matters I guess. ninja'd x2
  21. RGEM not all that inspiring - still an inch DC-BALT but has the heaviest stuff from PHL- NYC. More NAM-y
  22. Smith Mountain Lake is the snow capital of the Commonwealth. We've always known it to be true
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