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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Maybe I shouldn’t say this but in a side Twitter group chat Tomer Berg just called this a mix of Jonas (2016) and Feb 2010.
  2. Would defer to someone else to make sure I’m not crazy. I think phases are largely just timing based and this was a bit out of sync. Out of sync and 8-12” is ok with me though
  3. Wasn’t a clean phase. AIGFS could’ve smoked us even more. Love where we stand right now. Could always change my mind in an hour
  4. If we’ve got a storm thread and we’re rocking later this week we should get a DC crew meetup for a real happy hour Thursday or Friday…
  5. I think I’m still more concerned about suppression so I think I agree with you. My scenarios are good snowstorm, whiff south and something light, and snow -> way too icy. No idea how I’d weigh each option but finding it hard to see is getting skunked
  6. Yeah idk if this is unwavering. One of the more concerning things I’ve seen, lol. But still got breathing room.
  7. It’s on WxBell - don’t know if it’s available unpaid anywhere. This is prob the “money” frame but 850s are toasted. Surface is more than cold, though.
  8. FWIW - the new Canadian (I think it replaces the old in the spring) is light snow -> sleet -> little bit of FRZA. So it’s amped and totally different than the about-to-be-replaced version
  9. Hopefully the whole “what’s snow in Cville makes it way to DC” rule holds up. And shows much the radar sucks down there.
  10. Snowy and windy drive back to DC. Picked up another 1-2” last night at @katabatic ‘s place. Definitely a 5/5 host and recommend the drive out this way - shockingly easy. Squally out in WV - sure it’s gonna stop the second I get in VA. Savoring each flake.
  11. Next Monday standing out on the EPS - consistent threat window trending snowier. Ofc, that was also the case for today, and well…
  12. I don’t claim to know better than the NWS often, but what a questionable WWA. Would love to hear the breakdown. Guess they could still be bailed out by a more impressive coastal portion then expected but that also seems quite unlikely…
  13. Looking at 00z hi-res guidance… not too late for LWX to cancel those advisories and save face.
  14. Unfortunately I’m like 95% sure it struggles with precip depiction. But the more the merrier regardless- I’d just chop this down by a quarter.
  15. Kinda expect LWX to shoot out some WWAs for at least I-95&east the EPS being pretty aggressive on the latest run
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