NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Had a tease for the 6th. Does seem like that the 6th is another “real” window at least. All I can ask for at the start of the season is a few chances to keep me busy.
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All snow thump even in DC? Buy.
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It is but I forgot how north the GFS was at 18z. More mix this run at least.
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GFS looks south
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It’s soooo close for DC. Still wicked - 28 and ice. 10” if you don’t go too far NW. All I care about for now is more to track for the next 10 days.
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EURO also has a big storm wayyy out there Dec. 10 or so.
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For posterity - snows on the front and backend.
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It’s AIFS Ens or bust at this point. Fun early season exercise at the least. Hope we get to try again sooner rather then later
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If it is broken, that would be why imo. @Jidid you say you can see the individual AIFS members? Or just in WxBell
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Lol - maybe the AIFS output is broken
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Got the median for the AIFS thru 138 - pretty impressive. Not caving to the parent. Still waiting for the mean.
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AI EURO consistently and stubbornly south - kinda on it's own now if I'm remembering the 12z cycle right. We'll see what its ens do
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within 3 hours
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yep, think it's gonna be icy. CMC and it's para were icy last night so it's at least consistent. Canadian models love ice and I swear they are always too cold
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Don't have the pretty maps but don't see how Canadian doesn't start us wintry, whether snow or ice. Pretty darn cold right before the precip rolls in
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a tiny bit of this is from Sunday
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Flips at 123 for DC but been solidly thumped before that. Waiting til the end but ~4" DC - 6" Loudoun, ~8" Frederick
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it's a WSW for you verbatim though
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Still all snow at 120
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Nice thump at 117. Looks better
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CMC ens last night were also good… for the little it’s worth.
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I’m showing the ens. I keep hearing random chatter that they’ve got a broken output but nobody has offered any proof, so I’ll choose to ignore it. Looks plausible to me…
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Live or die with our AI overlords.
