Jump to content

NorthArlington101

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,931

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I’m mostly talking to myself when I’m managing expectations like that (lol)
  2. NorthArlington101
    This’ll be fun. Just not what we wanted. Would love 5” of snow and I’ll keep that as my O/U barring a really seismic shift at 18z. Kinda want to drop it to 3” snow but maybe I’m a total downer.
  3. NorthArlington101
    Disturbing seeing more FRZA than sleet being modeled a bit there. Really rooting against that.
  4. NorthArlington101
    Yep, @WxUSAF was 100% correct earlier in the week when he said a Nina was gonna fight back. Was hard to see every single failure mode teaming up against us but it did. Historic cold is the saving grace. One day our luck will flip, and even if we boom tomorrow, we did still fumble this one a bit.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Almost everything that could go wrong with this one has, honestly. It’s a miracle the cold is so cold or we’d’ve been out of this one a couple days ago.
  6. NorthArlington101
    Bullish. Hope you are right - though not sure I want to know how much of what you are spitting out is snow vs. sleet! I’ll pretend it’s all snow.
  7. NorthArlington101
    Becoming fairly clear that if you want to see it snow for a decent bit of time, you better wake up by 5am at latest.
  8. NorthArlington101
    I’m unfortunately running with the fact that the NAM is gonna win the changeover battle. Happens too often. Couple factors here could suggest it’s too aggressive but I think you have to give it the edge. At that point, you just gotta root to get pummeled as much as possible from midnight-8am. That’s all I’m checking for.
  9. NorthArlington101
    EURO and CMC don’t do it. See if it’s an off run. Plenty of time
  10. NorthArlington101
    AIFS likes Feb. 6. Not too far away for Feb. 1/2 either, but miss verbatim.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Yeah lowkey folded to the GFS. Just want the NAM on board
  12. NorthArlington101
  13. NorthArlington101
    I think it struggles to mix out the sleet…. But more wintry precip all the same
  14. NorthArlington101
    AIFS (probably out of its best range) got a bit wetter.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Would be a kick in the nards even though it’s all gonna freeze back over rapidly
  16. NorthArlington101
  17. NorthArlington101
    Piece over the GL is pretty different. Might be mucking it up Snows a lil bit from that alone. Emphasis on little
  18. NorthArlington101
    WxBell at 180 - I’m not smart enough for 500mb but it’s burying it in the gulf so don’t think the ICON wants in this go.
  19. NorthArlington101
  20. NorthArlington101
  21. NorthArlington101
    Even the Spire wanted to party somehow ended up owning like $20 of spire stock and it’s been doing well. Can’t be because of the weather model.
  22. NorthArlington101
    It might flip DC an hour later. Every little bit counts since euro refuses to sleet I’ll show the ice
  23. NorthArlington101
    18z normal EURO a hold.
  24. NorthArlington101
    Peep the digital snow thread post for what the GFS had 9 days ago for this storm. GFS is excellent in this range /s (but what if I’m not joking)
  25. NorthArlington101
    Pretty close. I can only get 24hrs we have to subtract from the previous storm. Add like 4” to that idk
×
×
  • Create New...