NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Central VA getting smoked at 144 - might be a run where it crawls north again
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sorry im now back in the office 5 days a week so my midday posting is down... this is a 24hr median on the EPS. Wowza
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GFS isn't nothing for next Saturday - 1-3" areawide then more ice.
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Not even talking about you - the group seemed disappointed in that run even when we had a more accurate sense of it. im also saying that you shouldn’t be disappointed in that run and also post the snow mean with a “WOW!” when it has 6”+ regionwide and then be sad when the GFS shows more then that region wide. Not you specifically
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Must’ve been the best worst GFS run I’ve ever seen. Read the first 50 new posts thinking it was a disaster then looked myself. Complaining about a run above the snowfall mean? 2 events in the next 100 hours? Missing to the south? Really?
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Definitely expecting just a glaze of ice on my balcony near Union Station. May have to venture out to the fake trees and grass in my building’s courtyard to get my ice fix.
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Don’t think WxBell has FRAM
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(Ice)
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This is more than the GEFS snow mean for this period for the last gazillion runs so even though it looked boring with how it played out I think we’d have to be okay with it
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Look at all the QPF we hypothetically lose to ice this next week
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lot going on this run - i wouldn't turn my nose up at it but too messy. Not a folks or a fail
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GFS incoming at 171 hmmm - may be fading out a bit
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I think Saturday's upside is a snowier Wednesday/Thursday event... no shot we don't mix seemingly. ^ most of this is "ice"
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GFS snowing this Saturday at 108 hours out - moderate snow DC-north at 111. Flip to ice at 114 unless you're in NE MD
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With the NAM, 3k, GFS, Canadians, and EURO even kind of on board I’m a little shocked we don’t have WWAs up. I guess if this is really a Thursday morning issue it’s still a bit early.
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1-2” of sleet and a lot of ice that’ll melt pretty fast on Thursday anyway. I’m in.
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50 in UHI hell.
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12k NAM looking like a sleet storm, colder at the surface too. See if the 3k follows.
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Thanks - appreciate these maps. Don’t have Pivotal… can only pay so many subscriptions!
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18z EURO is in for a wintry mix event (sound familiar?) for Saturday. Snowier for the northern tier, more ice everywhere, flips to rain eventually.
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GFS is crazy slow to get this going. Says "what precip" and it's 1am Thursday. Finally icing around 4am
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I based that more off my read of the LWX AFD - but ultimately yes concur that there is most likely no real impact til that late evening-10pm period. fwiw the short range FV3 does the same thing as the RGEM
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Gotta take it with the grain of salt it deserves but RGEM is 1" of snow with sleet and 0.5" of ice for pretty much everyone, lol
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this got delayed a bit which is helping with the impacts - looks something like this as is 10am-10pm Wednesday: light rain/sleet/snow, T-1" as you go toward NE MD 10pm-10am Wednesday Night/Thursday morning: heavier sleet/FRZA, favored spots favored, changing from sleet to FRZA to rain SW->NE
