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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. BWI: 22.1" DCA: 16.6" IAD: 23.2" RIC: 11.6" Tiebreaker (SBY): 8"
  2. It definitely makes me reevaluate my subscription to WeatherBell. I still want ens products though, so I might be stuck.
  3. GFS is still very suppressed. Congrats Carolinas.
  4. 12z GEFS was a respectable improvement over 6z for the northerners in the forum.
  5. My brief amateur take on the 12z GFS is that not much changed other than the timing -- was earlier and hence less impactful for Central VA. Precip actually took a slight jog north, looked kinda EURO-y but more south for most of the run until it flipped to a NC snowstorm at the end.
  6. If nothing else this is a good way to learn about the strengths and weaknesses of the new FV3 GFS. Leans very suppressed/squashed compared to CMC/EURO/ICON at the moment.
  7. Meh, a little bit. I recognize the unlikelihood and definitely wont be disappointed when this fades into oblivion but the window is there and the GEFS/EPS have had a decent amount of support for first flakes over the past couple of runs. We only get a dozen (maybe a couple dozen) or so shots at cold and precip a year so I’ll pay attention to a look in November if a global model has a storm in 6-7 days. Keeps me entertained.
  8. Now that’s exactly where I want a storm. Loved that GFS run. Definitely some Central VA bias but a good step forward for all. Legit window here for everyone. Would like to see a slight shift south on the Euro or CMC. Changed the map because that old one was bugged out... 42” in NC lol.
  9. I think this is the first winter with the fully upgraded FV3. We’ll find out, lol.
  10. People forget that Central VA cashed out. Got a 1’ in Cville, I think even up to Fredericksburg got 5”. It’s definitely a mental game but I like seeing a suppressed look right now. Better than SNE model porn.
  11. Not bad for Nov 9th. SNE made a thread already lol.
  12. It’s about time! Let greater snow map spam begin.
  13. I’m in Charlottesville for school now. Hopefully my signature is updated. I recognize my name is confusing.
  14. Post storm wind gusts have been much more intense then actual storm, FWIW. Gotta be gusting 45-50.
  15. 18z GFS suggests flakes in the air Day 9. Actually like 13/20 GEFS members are somewhat interesting for this time of year, lol.
  16. Super lame in Charlottesville. Hope you guys have more luck.
  17. GEFS and EPS suggest a somewhat legitimate Day 9 threat window for sure. Something to casually keep an eye on.
  18. Incoming for Charlottesville... let’s see if I survive the gusty winds.
  19. Incoming for Charlottesville... let’s see if I survive the gusty winds.
  20. Low level clouds are racing across the sky in Cville. I haven’t personally seen any sun. Probably gonna be stuck in class for the main event.
  21. Low level clouds are racing across the sky in Cville. I haven’t personally seen any sun. Probably gonna be stuck in class for the main event.
  22. Feel like this event deserves a thread.
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