Might be dealing with dry air down here in Charlottesville. Radar returns look solid but there is very little ground truth to those returns. All I want is to see a snowflake!
https://www.nbcwashington.com/weather/stories/Dougs-Winter-Weather-Outlook-2019-2020-564743002.html
FWIW, NBC Washington is going with a decently above average year.
Yep. OP is even a little more aggressive. Could be some surprised people in the Hampton Roads area tomorrow if that coastal enhancement really gets going.
Everyone feels old no matter what. I'm about to be laughed out of the room, but I'm turning 20 fairly soon and that is a scary thought! A 20-something? Aren't I supposed to have my life somewhat together by now?
This EPS run actually brought back in a couple of higher end solutions, especially south. Reminds me of earlier GFS runs a little. Good chunk of members jackpot Hampton Rhodes, a couple of 10”ers in there.
something something, lock it up. Comparing between 0z, Jackpotville lost some snow, as well as a second maximum in SE VA, but overall a little more for most if not just equivalent. Definitely not a run that suggests the threat is over.
12z GEFS was a fairly significant improvement on the 06z for those trying to find hope.
while I'm on it, the CMC ens (looking at the individual members is loltastic) also were a significant jump
Really weird evolution but 00z GFS gets the job done as far as first flakes go. Would be a nice way to start the season verbatim, and pretty chilly in the immediate aftermath of the snow.