HRRR might make you happier.
31-32 by the time the last band comes in to the metro. And the rates in the first band are decent when it is 33-34. Could overcome the grass.
HRRR keeps improving run-to-run. I like to think that is because it's doing a better job of recognizing the expanse of precip down in Tennessee, Kentucky, and Alabama.
I think I heard (jokingly, I'm sure ) that HDRPS maps are banned. 18z HDRPS is gonna be the best run of the 18z suite, bands DC-Balt pretty hard. 2-4" type run for areas that get hit, temps cooperate because of the banding.
Might as well keep on talking about the 18z suite.
18z RGEM is cold, at the very least. Gives pretty much everyone (including the cities proper) 1" with temps below freezing. 1" everywhere would be a big win.
I'm gonna pull the good ol' weenie excuse of saying that both the 12k and 3k initiated really poorly with respect to how much precip is on the actual radar. Completely missed everything in Tennessee, Arkansas, and Kentucky.