Happy first day of (online) classes to me! Somehow, UVA still plans on holding in-person classes this Fall. Like we are much smarter then USC, Notre Dame, or UNC, haha.
It’s just casual analysis, tbh I don’t know what I’m talking about. I tried to word it carefully... we obviously want certain conditions to happen but I don’t think we’ve ever had a lock on it three months out. We don’t usually have a lock on it two weeks out. Smarter people then me can look at the super long range models and see good signs but IMO it’s not worth worrying about.
LR winter analysis is a slight step above astrology, IMO. You can definitely identify warning flags, but we are just so reliant on flukes during winter that it’s hardly worth grumbling about/taking anything too seriously. Love the thread and the work though.
Anyone feel an earthquake? I didn’t in Arlington, but my friends down in Charlottesville did. Looking on Twitter it looks like it was probably down in the Carolinas.
seems they are deferring the choice for next season and are simply going as the Washington Football Team this year. Washington FC would've been a lot more catchy but I guess that naming conviction is too "soccer" for American football.
Honestly? A lot of it is people within my age group (18-29) or younger -- plenty of Snapchat stories or Instagram posts with people in large groups drinking/partying/whatnot. Lots of my college friends are planning trips over the summer and are surprised when I turn them down. I'm super pleased with what I see as a whole in this area, but that said I'm still not leaving my house all that much.
With the scientific consensus about the effectiveness of masks growing yet the pandemic not slowing down, there clearly have to be a decent chunk of offenders out there. My anecdotal observations line up with the spike in infections in younger people as well.