NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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This is a bad run for I-95.
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SNOW HAMMER ZONE
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don't think ICON 850mbs are available but almost everyone loses 925s, other than the mountains. Way different than GFS/EURO. Honestly, I think it's tossable.
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ICON (I know) has been pretty consistent with snow to sleet/FRZA. Just trying to recall the past couple years, I know the ICON has advertised big FRZA storms before. None have ever come to fruition.
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I honestly don't know what to make of it. Runs once a day and by the time it comes out it's always old guidance. Makes it tough to to discuss!
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EPS was flatter/less amped at 12z than 06z, FWIW
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we get slammed at the end. verbatim (i know EURO gust product is bad) but it could justify a Blizzard Watch for D.C. proper
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12z: 00z:
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oh yeah. this is an infinitely better run.
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we get crushed in the deform. 12z: 00z:
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rates flip it to snow/rain/sleet for the 1-95 corridor. Not shocking IMO. Looks slightly mixier than previous runs but based on a quick glance it looks more like noise than a trend the wrong way.
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12z is gonna be a little warmer than 00z for ground temps, but mostly looks like noise.
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2" per hour rates on the CMC lol.
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GEFS mean is also impressive. Includes Monday's event.
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i'll make one for the obs thread
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Bingo!
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GEFS took a big jump up. 12z 06z
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(FWIW, NYC doesn't actually get 3' with this storm, they get hit on Monday too.)
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