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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Fine, I'll say it. The high is currently stronger than modeled. Current analysis: What was progged:
  2. NorthArlington101
    this is your way of saying you think we're gonna boom a bit without committing to it... right?
  3. NorthArlington101
    All the stations near me are down to 33. Even a couple 32 degree readings. Really think we got a shot at keeping temps lower than progged. 33/22 in N Arlington near the FFX border, ~360ft
  4. NorthArlington101
    you got a favorite site you use to see cloud cover?
  5. NorthArlington101
    Also: GEFS took a notable jog east. Does it matter? Probably not. But add it to the weenie list of things that could be taken as a good sign. 18z 12z
  6. NorthArlington101
    Just for fun... GEFS probs.
  7. NorthArlington101
  8. NorthArlington101
    Averaging the stations near me and going 35/21. Feel like it’s running a little colder than progged.
  9. NorthArlington101
    Point-and-click (and the WSW) would suggest I've got a better shot at having fun/seeing snow in Charlottesville... but I think I'm too lazy to make the drive to see maybe an extra 1-2" with a crusty top. Feel like the boom odds might be slightly better in Arlington anyways. That's what I'm telling myself, at least. Never got quite as warm today as it was supposed to -- missed the high by about 3 degrees. 38/22.
  10. NorthArlington101
  11. NorthArlington101
  12. NorthArlington101
    west. my bad. i'll edit it.
  13. NorthArlington101
  14. NorthArlington101
    EURO went even more west. Would definitely an outlier in its 6z ensembles, but not sure that matters. Still get 2" from the initial thump, even in the city. Better measure it before the rain begins to really ramp up.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Depends what you define as worth it! I'd still assume you see a 1' of snow. Should rip for awhile, at least.
  16. NorthArlington101
    I fully recognize the ensembles are not that relevant at this point, but it is odd to see them well east of the OP.
  17. NorthArlington101
    The best part of any bad run is when it brings others down with you
  18. NorthArlington101
    I suppose it's not shocking that the HDRPS is cold on the surface. Unlike the CMC though, the HDRPS only drops DCA to 27/28 tonight (the actual forecasted low). Keeps DCA below zero till the end of its run (48) tomorrow though.
  19. NorthArlington101
    yeah, it takes DCA down to 24 tonight. I'd be skeptical. That said, quite the difference in guidance. I know I'd lean towards being hurt.
  20. NorthArlington101
    man, this is something. I guess I'd lean GFS here... will be interesting to see what it looks like 8pm tomorrow.
  21. NorthArlington101
    NE MD is gonna loooove this run though.
  22. NorthArlington101
    GFS 2m temps got warmer. Gonna do the weenie thing and toss it for the colder mesos.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Translation: better CAD
  24. NorthArlington101
    RGEM is a front-end thump kinda run. Hits us a little on the backend too. DCA might barely get to 33. 850s torch for awhile though.
  25. NorthArlington101
    the meso-low @MN Transplant mentioned earlier may not be hurting us on temps too much on its own (though I don't think its helping) but it seemed to portend some crazy gusts.
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