NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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I promise you it is! I don't want to post another UKMET map but if you go to Pivotal the first six hours of the run got you down for about .7" up that way.
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oh no. I started a 20 post discussion on the UKMET. maybe I'll pull out the ARPAGE next? The Australian? the Brazilian?
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not to belabor UKMET precip guidance, decent chunk of that is from today. This is probably better.
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It is substantially warmer than most guidance. If you just take UKIE track, CMC/RGEM temps, and GFS precip...
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It ain't even that great, but I'll elect to hug. And maybe travel to Charlottesville. Not gonna lie, kinda like this run because it sorta screws NYC. I expect Boston to do better than us but NYC getting 2' and me getting zero rubs me the wrong way.
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Yep, acknowledged as much in my post. Just passing time. Anyways, MSLP track looks better but it's still warm. Guessing it won't make any friends in this subforum when the snow maps come out.
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To my untrained eye the track of the low on the UKMET looks better. But as @MillvilleWx mentioned last night, might as well be shaking a magic eight ball.
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Seeing some reports of mixing on mPING outside Rockville.
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I’ve never seen good sleet. I’ll sign on the dotted line for a wintry mix at this stage of the game.
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I bet you could plot the five stages of grief really well on this forum. I know I probably go through them.
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Updated. I’m also gonna say that we’ve hit the “it never snows in December” line. People have been tip-toeing around it but there has been plenty of the “this is bonus snow” discussion.
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Filled out a couple more squares. Might’ve missed an Eskimo Joe “meh.”
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now this is a declaration of intra-subforum warfare.
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you just said what the people were thinking! power to the people. viva la revolution.
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Almost unbelievable that we are still 60 hours out. Exhausting.
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00z 18z 12z
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850 temps are fairly unchanged other than random banding signatures. But a good bit warmer on the surface.
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UKMET is not that great.
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Not shocked to the see the meh reception to the CMC from those outside the uber-favored areas but that is a cold run at the surface. I'll take my chances with wintry soup at 29. Don't even think DCA breaches 32 verbatim.
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Matter of perspective, I think. I’ve been operating under the assumption a full rug pull to 0” is possible. That said, I still believe this could be 1.5’ for me too. Anything better than the full rug pull satisfies me and I let the crazy runs give me some free dopamine.
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It wasn’t warmer and it probably gives everyone (DC/west) warning-level snow? Wasn’t a step to forum-wide MECS but for those with tempered expectations I think seeing things not go sharply in the wrong direction was good.
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my Steelers have been exposed. we need to change things up. Don’t know how but we do.
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ICON > NAM. I distinctly remember Stormtracker at one point conceding the NAM was a good model one or two years ago. Stuck with me.
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Snow game on TV right now!
