NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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EURO went even more west. Would definitely an outlier in its 6z ensembles, but not sure that matters. Still get 2" from the initial thump, even in the city. Better measure it before the rain begins to really ramp up.
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Depends what you define as worth it! I'd still assume you see a 1' of snow. Should rip for awhile, at least.
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I fully recognize the ensembles are not that relevant at this point, but it is odd to see them well east of the OP.
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The best part of any bad run is when it brings others down with you
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I suppose it's not shocking that the HDRPS is cold on the surface. Unlike the CMC though, the HDRPS only drops DCA to 27/28 tonight (the actual forecasted low). Keeps DCA below zero till the end of its run (48) tomorrow though.
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yeah, it takes DCA down to 24 tonight. I'd be skeptical. That said, quite the difference in guidance. I know I'd lean towards being hurt.
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man, this is something. I guess I'd lean GFS here... will be interesting to see what it looks like 8pm tomorrow.
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NE MD is gonna loooove this run though.
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GFS 2m temps got warmer. Gonna do the weenie thing and toss it for the colder mesos.
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Translation: better CAD
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RGEM is a front-end thump kinda run. Hits us a little on the backend too. DCA might barely get to 33. 850s torch for awhile though.
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the meso-low @MN Transplant mentioned earlier may not be hurting us on temps too much on its own (though I don't think its helping) but it seemed to portend some crazy gusts.
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the world record is 12" an hour. that's nothing!
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Man, if we could just get rid of this double-barreled look on the 3k... 996 at the benchmark man.
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Meant to post this earlier but got distracted. Hope you like the end of the storm. Can't seem to get it to embed. Think clicking it should work.
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2m temps are horrific, but looking back on it previous runs weren't that much better. 850 temps actually improved somehow. edit: to clarify, it's very slight. but NW DC/down to the Mall or so doesn't lose 850s.
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Significant ice is what he's going for.
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I kinda hate my Dell XPS. Bought it for school and I kinda wish I bought a Mac.
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EPS is much colder than last run. 12z 06z
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If your house is gonna be empty it's tempting to make you an informal AirBNB offer.
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Occasionally something falls from the sky that isn’t a normal raindrop. Big win. 37 degrees so it’s colder today than it was supposed to be IMBY.
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Baltimore barely loses 850s, FWIW. Verbatim I think it hangs on by a thread. D.C. is at risk of losing them ~6 hours during the best precip, which isn't ideal, but its much closer this run. I'd take my 350" of elevation and pray.
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It's actually an improvement over 06z snow map wise but I'm comparing Pivotal maps to WxBell maps. WxBell seems delayed this run.
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Still 1002mb low up into the Bay near the mouth of the James River at 54hr. Looks pretty identical to 06z re: MSLP track.
