NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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yep, think it's gonna be icy. CMC and it's para were icy last night so it's at least consistent. Canadian models love ice and I swear they are always too cold
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Don't have the pretty maps but don't see how Canadian doesn't start us wintry, whether snow or ice. Pretty darn cold right before the precip rolls in
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a tiny bit of this is from Sunday
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Flips at 123 for DC but been solidly thumped before that. Waiting til the end but ~4" DC - 6" Loudoun, ~8" Frederick
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it's a WSW for you verbatim though
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Still all snow at 120
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Nice thump at 117. Looks better
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CMC ens last night were also good… for the little it’s worth.
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I’m showing the ens. I keep hearing random chatter that they’ve got a broken output but nobody has offered any proof, so I’ll choose to ignore it. Looks plausible to me…
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Live or die with our AI overlords.
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There’s enough different solutions out there where I’d be remiss to call it yet but this isn’t nearly as fun as last night lol
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It’s rain in all of WVA - no shot. Might work for verrry northern MD and PA
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I think this is gonna be a continuation of the bad 18z trend - norther
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AI Euro now 2-3” area wide… map shortly
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Better TPV push and it might be okay. I like seeing a stronger storm… one day that’ll work out for us.
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It’s raining DC at 138, mixy further west. Might flip eventually
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Gonna be way too amped. So EURO and GFS in opposite worlds.
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Probably smart enough to wait for a EURO run to show something exciting within 5 days to come back and steer the PBP. For now it's amateur hour. EURO went from amp'd and raining on us to kicked OTS in 12 hours.
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12z pretty much storm total precip vs. 06z
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Yeah, it's not as good. Real issue is we just don't get the rates we need to force a flip with marginal temperatures. Need a stronger and sharper vort and we don't get it this run.
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Vort not quite as consolidated. Might stay icier. Shark privileges revoked
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GFS looks like it’ll probably hold to me - don’t quote me if I’m wrong in a few minutes.
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It’s a light hit of snow before mostly ZR, but nice to have it in the ballpark of a better outcome.
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I thought the 6z EURO and 6z AIFS made steps to meet each other in the middle (what we want). Would’ve loved to see a few more frames of the 6z EURO.
