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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Close as we’re gonna get to an area wide good outcome with this. And I’m not just saying that because I’m in the jackpot. Looks like the 6z EURO, reasonable outcome.
  2. NorthArlington101
    I feel like we’ve learned a fair bit about the character of this threat last night. GFS and EURO outcomes at 6z really aren’t that far apart, even in terms of distance. Storm has maybe a 6-8” max for those perfectly in its crosshairs but otherwise it’s gonna be pretty standard despite the awesome h5 look. We’re praying for the deform to cash in and missing all of the WAA. Tricky.
  3. NorthArlington101
    More realistic - EPS mean is better tonight. Goodnight!
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
    @Ji Another 1-2’ still to come honestly as depicted
  6. NorthArlington101
    End of EURO is 1-2’+. You’re gonna love the maps when they drop
  7. NorthArlington101
    EURO cooking up a monster at end of run, I think. Like 330
  8. NorthArlington101
  9. NorthArlington101
    Should snow this run but it’s not gonna bomb.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Taking zero credit for this analysis but what I’m hearing is that our low is developing too late and rapidly occluding - meaning we aren’t pulling in enough moisture in time. Solution could be a little more dig.
  11. NorthArlington101
    The “kicker” or whatever we want to call it these days is stronger/running more interference, I think
  12. NorthArlington101
    h5 was so good… surface so mediocre. Whatever. We’re alive another run.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Snow DC and a bit east by 120
  14. NorthArlington101
    Flipping over… would be a painful wait but hopefully worth it
  15. NorthArlington101
  16. NorthArlington101
    Would be pretty shocked if this GFS is a whiff. Said that about the ICON, though.
  17. NorthArlington101
    jk - but man it looks nice. TPV might run just interference to not have this be awesome. But really… cmon.
  18. NorthArlington101
    If this look on the ICON does nothing it’ll probably never snow in the mid-Atlantic again
  19. NorthArlington101
    Closed h5 in TN…
  20. NorthArlington101
    Squalls/gusty showers look fairly decent tonight on guidance… thread in the morning? Anyone? Bueller?
  21. NorthArlington101
    Let’s go Panthers!
  22. NorthArlington101
    The looks are pretty but we only have the GFS and like 100hr old runs of the ICON. Can’t say we weren’t warned if/when we get nothing
  23. NorthArlington101
    Surface is warm on the parent EURO too. I wouldn’t count on a lot of that being snow
  24. NorthArlington101
  25. NorthArlington101
    Ultimate surprise storm in “recent” memory… worth a google.
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