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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Was gonna say you could argue a sliiiightly faster flip. But all in all you have to call it a hold.
  2. NorthArlington101
    We’re not gonna have any problems with this GFS run
  3. NorthArlington101
    It’s a hair wetter by hr40. Could also just be faster. Both ok with me
  4. NorthArlington101
    Not gonna lie you are younger than I assumed you were
  5. NorthArlington101
    This might just be vibes but in my head I could make a compelling case the GEM suite has been the most consistent the last 48 hours. I feel like it shot things way north first but still always have DC-north a compelling 6-10” floor. Idk what 500mb looks like
  6. NorthArlington101
    Would obviously take it as it lies (feel like I've said that a lot today) but a tick north on the ICON, too. Wrong direction.
  7. NorthArlington101
    This is kinda noise level to me but might be IMBY bias - re: your post below, fair enough.
  8. NorthArlington101
    It's better than the NAM? At this point I lock this in 100% with no thought if you mean the mostly FRZA as opposed to sleet though, I agree
  9. NorthArlington101
  10. NorthArlington101
    I'm not yet okay
  11. NorthArlington101
    better snow to the south of us but didn't save it from a mediocre outcome. Only using Kuchera given the chatter about better than 10:1
  12. NorthArlington101
    Still just can't get over .5"/hr 10:1 on the 3k... and D.C. still flips around 9am. With all other guidance saying otherwise I really want to toss. Just can't shake the fact that it's not quite on board yet. What @MillvilleWx said is encouraging, at least.
  13. NorthArlington101
    Could be WxBell just being funky, but it tries to accumulate some snow after the flip to sleet while also accumulating sleet on the separate sleet panels. True wintry mix? Can it try and split 50/50 what falls? No idea.
  14. NorthArlington101
    DC looks to flip after 11am. Currently on the pre-flip-to-sleep-rippage panel.
  15. NorthArlington101
    EURO Control on the weeklies hits us hard twice over the next 2 weeks... not including Sunday.
  16. NorthArlington101
    Ens all have a little something... would say GEPS > AIFS Ens > GEFS > EPS in terms of most-to-least interesting.
  17. NorthArlington101
    When I first wake up and am in the interlude between sleep and getting up I often hallucinate realistic enough 6z runs and forum messages reacting to them. I've got a real effin problem
  18. NorthArlington101
    It's got it, just buries it into the Gulf of Mexico and struggles to get it up the coast once it crosses over Florida. Goes OTS
  19. NorthArlington101
    I said I’d be good but I lied. Still sweating the NAMs. If the NAM can get me back to 5” I’ll be okay
  20. NorthArlington101
    Looks good to me.
  21. NorthArlington101
    You and @mattie g need to step into a cage match and settle the is sleet cool discussion or not
  22. NorthArlington101
    It pops up randomly on guidance but CMC had it today
  23. NorthArlington101
    It was still drifting north when the run ended. probably. Just like seeing a HECS there at this point. Gonna try and get less attached to this one
  24. NorthArlington101
    Congrats VA/NC border
  25. NorthArlington101
    CMC is really weird. Kinda shreds the storm in half and is now pummeling VA beach/NC
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