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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Can sorta see two distinct threat windows if you squint. Regardless, pretty active. I'll take the GEFS control. 30" in one storm seems ok. 42" in 2 weeks
  2. It's close but verbatim it isn't- though I don't exactly trust the AIFS on p-type. As was already shared the surface is too warm, whether you buy it or not is up to you FWIW I am very bullish for January and am mostly just trolling JI
  3. It's a very generous offer that I'd take you up on in another life where I was allowed to work remotely still... please send pictures! 5ft of snow is out of this world!
  4. Hate wind. Gross. Good luck to the Tug Hill chasers. Don't think my car could make that journey lol. Hope your cabin has a second floor exit
  5. I’m not looking past the NYD event right now. Anything after that is gravy.
  6. Euro has a T-1” for NYD before it loading what looks pretty epic at Day 10. Loading something else up at Day 14 too
  7. Ends up as a 2-5” that doesn’t bomb til NYC but pattern looks pretty sweet. Couple more boring days til we track something, hopefully
  8. Not a lot of love for ice Friday, but that does seem to be a legitimate threat, especially for favored northern spots. Not exactly boring but not interesting now either
  9. pretty snowy for NYC though. If it wasn’t a holiday it might be a good week to go
  10. Def a tick south and colder makes it a respectable ice storm. Would be a wintry day at least
  11. It’s pretty sleety, at least. I’ll share the map once it generates.
  12. AIGFS is a little colder on the surface then previous runs. Not super ptype confident but think it might be snow -> ice for most north of 66 (for Friday)
  13. GFS manages to squeak out a little Christmas Day snow TV for some folks in northern Maryland. Torchmas
  14. You ignored the post above it where I honked for a miller A 14 days out
  15. Also on AIFS ens.... please remember we seem to have pretty much decided it can't tell the difference between snow/IP/FRZA/etc - but I see this as the total amount of wintry precip it's seeing for Friday. Just gotta mentally convert it to a QPF map
  16. Deep range but AIFS is lit up at the very end of the run. Quite a signal for days 14-16… mock it all ya want.
  17. A rainbow of options for sure. I'm going to (likely) be in Staunton for this one so I don't think I care too much what happens. Probably face the wrath of my girlfriend and retreat back to DC if it somehow trends to a higher end advisory storm, otherwise I'm fine missing a sleet/ice mess.
  18. It’s not a perfect comparison but trusting a single good poster on Twitter for how the whole season is gonna go will work as well as trusting a fantasy football analyst for your week to week start/sits. Nobody knows. Strange things happen. Random players can have a home run game. We’ve got 3 months to go in winter where it can be significantly snowy around here. Cannot possibly wave a white flag yet.
  19. I like the flurries it shows on the 23rd lol
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