NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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It runs delayed, but it was all snow for DC-north yesterday. Sleet creeping nearby
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I could come around to 6" of sleet if I had to in a true "worst case scenario" that hasn't even been modeled yet. Would be annoying to get baited by a MECS and shift into that, but 6" of sleet would be a BECS in its own way.
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The CMC is not a disaster... we don't like the trend but you'd think it just gave us 0" and not a forum-wide 8-12"+
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foot of snow 10:1 in DC?
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Looks like a pretty solid thump before sleet/dryslot... can start mentally trying to get comfortable with that as a "worst" case outcome.
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Duration really increased. All that missing QPF is on the backside
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Orientation of the CCB is very different this run, can't quite figure out why. To defend @bncho a bit the only drier panels are really 108/111, but think that's delayed, not denied and I guess 102 re: above, but doesn't show as clearly on WxBell
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what kind of work do we do, lol
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Sleet line a hair north, but you'd like to just call it a wobble. Still a money panel
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Right, it's an IMBY sport. So you know exactly why some people would be less happy than the trend from last night - that's the only point I'm poorly trying to make! Hope you get crushed (and me too, ofc)
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Comparison is the thief of joy and in a vacuum we'd all be happy with the (current) modeled outcomes, but surprised you can't appreciate why someone in SoMD wouldn't be as happy as you might be right now. I think we'll all be fine but some folks are more on the edge here for totally understandable reasons.
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I think there is almost no question we at least get a 5-10" thump. The question of the day, which is hopefully resolved by the end of the day so we can set expectations, is whether those of us in the typically sleet-vulnerable areas need to be bracing for snow or sleet after that flip. Didn't look like an issue yesterday so I think folks are appropriately riled up.
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One thing worth noting on the NAM, perhaps, is that it seems very skeptical of freezing rain as the dominant non-snow Ptype. Lot of sleet, even way down south.
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Aldie basically said it but LWX pushed their updates to the maps…
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All metro lines are in the area (Metro Center/Gallery) - 915 F St. NW, Washington DC, 20004
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It got buried a bit, but folks are meeting at Succotash starting around 5pm on Thursday. I’m jotting down names and I’ll pass along my number in a group chat once we get a few. If folks are interested, LMK. I work very close and will get us a table in the upstairs bar zone.
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Everyone has to remember that folks have different interests depending on their all important backyard. It’s not a coincidence the western and northern folks are more willing to make the trade off of some sleet for more snow…
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Yeah, I don’t care too much what it showed verbatim. Trend tonight is dangerous and needs to stop. Like ASAP.
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It’s… gonna be a lot of sleet.
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Being totally skunked isn’t possible - we’d at least get like 4” of sleet if this really got screwed up somehow. Which isn’t as cool but it’s interesting
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AIGFS is pretty hot. 1” QPF just north of DC. Don’t think any mixing issues.
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I don’t care! More the merrier. It’s a working city lol, think you’ll be okay.
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Cool - once we get a sense of attendees I’ll PM folks my number just so we know who to look out for. Cya soon!
