NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Median outcome pretty sexy. Essentially a hold from 06z.
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Looking at the individual EPS members (nice WxBell maps incoming) it's pretty clear the only reasonable cause for concern is suppression. Northern stream running out too far ahead of the southern stream (ULL slowing down) would be my specific concern with what we're seeing but hopefully we've got some room.
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Gonna be a total weenie here but wish we could get better rates. The longevity of this storm is what makes it impactful for us... along with the "ratios"
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Looking at the 3hr/snow maps, barring ratios, the hourly snowfall totals honestly aren't that all impressive... like .55-.75"/hr. Wish I knew more about airport operations, but if you feel like you can get there, I feel like the airports may be able to keep up.
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I’ll be able to get total QPF shortly but think it’s about 9” 10:1 for DCA. Please hold
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Looks like about a dead-on midnight start. WxBell maps almost at the money.
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Ending my brief crashout - unless the EURO comes in and scares me. GEFS is fine. Drier. No real south shift.
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GFS and GFSAI have tilted me a bit this morning so I'm going to restrict myself to here. Why can't we get good model agreement for more than one suite (6z)? Why is this storm always 6 days away?
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Probably, but just flipping precip back and forth at 96 it's a 100mi jump south at least
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6z AI GFS was lowkey a disaster, but I held my tongue. Just gotta hope the GFS is lost (as usual)
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yeah, I'm still a little sad we've pushed this back a day. I guess it seems to offer us a higher-end outcome, but would rather just get this done sooner rather than later. Guess it ups the odds of OPM giving us a day on Monday.
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Yeah, don't know where this came from. Maybe I wasn't paying enough attention?
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It's only slightly lower so this isn't me being negative, but is there any reason we should/shouldn't be using the NBM v5 that I believe goes live this spring?
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Fair enough - haven’t paid enough attention to the storm I tried to call dibs on. Willing to give this one to someone else if I can own the Feb 3 BECS
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They get younger and faster. I’m already in bed. Harder to be quick on my phone
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GFS zoomed since I’m late
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https://www.weather.gov/lwx/wintermaps Slightly different then the winter page… select Days 3-7
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https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html
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Still a lot to go, honestly. Backend is in Texas
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Oranged. Wish it was confidence pulling it up but we’ll take.
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If you like weenie ratios we’ve hit it already. Would be a nice storm.
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Storm definitely somehow got pushed back a day today. Which annoys me. We were gonna be in NAM range by tonight at one point!
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Here? Probably never in recorded history
