NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Tough to bet against a locked in AIFS. Oh well. We'll try again next winter. -
Any company that invents carbon recapture will be a full port of my portfolio! Til then…
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18z Euro looks like a nice rainstorm. I’ll give it another day
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Yeah, AIFS even more suppressed. Hard to bet against it locked in, but we’ll see
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HECS, MECS, whatever. 13" on my dome is high impact to me
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Probably not fair to compare the CMC Ens to the Para CMC since they are running different systems - but not really, lol. Para CMC and the current CMC are close-ish to each other, though. Reform the low off the Carolina coast vs. over our heads/NJ
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PARA Canadian (in theory the better version) is a HECS
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re: the above - pretty boom or bust
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Pretty much zippo But when you jump to 75% it gets impressive fast - probably only need a 60th percentile storm to be okay?
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Promise you the decision was made with more data than you have!
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You have to view these only in the sense of mean total QPF that is borderline wintry, but…
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EPS 00z
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AIFS ens are close…
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CMC Para 10:1 (paste bomb so Kuchera hates it)
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I think it might at least start as snow but the WxBell temp maps aren’t out all the way Edit: sooo close at 850 and 925. Probably rain for most but n md
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To be so cold for weeks and then end winter on a perfect track rainstorm would be pretty funny
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If that thread is gonna stay they could at least crosspost the discussion. I’ve already explained that I don’t get it but it’s whatever
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Surface temps are yucky for pretty much everyone but in theory it’s probably a quick paste bomb for most everyone* with the timing before it flips to rain. *I-81 wins
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Normal CMC kinda looks like that at 12z. I-81 storm.
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CMC snows at 12z. It’s para did this last night - very AIFS-esque
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GFS and ICON at range is an awesome combo. Just have to hope they both got some good news in the 12z data. Probably not
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Willing to blissfully ignore the surface temps at this range a little bit - not it’s specialty. Still not what you’d like to hear Edit: I’ll trust PSU
