NorthArlington101

There’s enough different solutions out there where I’d be remiss to call it yet but this isn’t nearly as fun as last night lol

It’s rain in all of WVA - no shot. Might work for verrry northern MD and PA

I think this is gonna be a continuation of the bad 18z trend - norther

AI Euro now 2-3” area wide… map shortly

Better TPV push and it might be okay. I like seeing a stronger storm… one day that’ll work out for us.

It’s raining DC at 138, mixy further west. Might flip eventually

Gonna be way too amped. So EURO and GFS in opposite worlds.

Probably smart enough to wait for a EURO run to show something exciting within 5 days to come back and steer the PBP. For now it's amateur hour. EURO went from amp'd and raining on us to kicked OTS in 12 hours.

12z pretty much storm total precip vs. 06z

Yeah, it's not as good. Real issue is we just don't get the rates we need to force a flip with marginal temperatures. Need a stronger and sharper vort and we don't get it this run.

Vort not quite as consolidated. Might stay icier. Shark privileges revoked

GFS looks like it’ll probably hold to me - don’t quote me if I’m wrong in a few minutes.

It’s a light hit of snow before mostly ZR, but nice to have it in the ballpark of a better outcome.

I thought the 6z EURO and 6z AIFS made steps to meet each other in the middle (what we want). Would’ve loved to see a few more frames of the 6z EURO.