NorthArlington101

Ends up as a 2-5” that doesn’t bomb til NYC but pattern looks pretty sweet. Couple more boring days til we track something, hopefully

Not a lot of love for ice Friday, but that does seem to be a legitimate threat, especially for favored northern spots. Not exactly boring but not interesting now either

pretty snowy for NYC though. If it wasn’t a holiday it might be a good week to go

Def a tick south and colder makes it a respectable ice storm. Would be a wintry day at least

It’s pretty sleety, at least. I’ll share the map once it generates.

AIGFS is a little colder on the surface then previous runs. Not super ptype confident but think it might be snow -> ice for most north of 66 (for Friday)

GFS manages to squeak out a little Christmas Day snow TV for some folks in northern Maryland. Torchmas

You ignored the post above it where I honked for a miller A 14 days out

Also on AIFS ens.... please remember we seem to have pretty much decided it can't tell the difference between snow/IP/FRZA/etc - but I see this as the total amount of wintry precip it's seeing for Friday. Just gotta mentally convert it to a QPF map

Deep range but AIFS is lit up at the very end of the run. Quite a signal for days 14-16… mock it all ya want.

A rainbow of options for sure. I'm going to (likely) be in Staunton for this one so I don't think I care too much what happens. Probably face the wrath of my girlfriend and retreat back to DC if it somehow trends to a higher end advisory storm, otherwise I'm fine missing a sleet/ice mess.

It’s not a perfect comparison but trusting a single good poster on Twitter for how the whole season is gonna go will work as well as trusting a fantasy football analyst for your week to week start/sits. Nobody knows. Strange things happen. Random players can have a home run game. We’ve got 3 months to go in winter where it can be significantly snowy around here. Cannot possibly wave a white flag yet.

I like the flurries it shows on the 23rd lol