NorthArlington101

Not a lot of love for ice Friday, but that does seem to be a legitimate threat, especially for favored northern spots. Not exactly boring but not interesting now either

pretty snowy for NYC though. If it wasn’t a holiday it might be a good week to go

Def a tick south and colder makes it a respectable ice storm. Would be a wintry day at least

It’s pretty sleety, at least. I’ll share the map once it generates.

AIGFS is a little colder on the surface then previous runs. Not super ptype confident but think it might be snow -> ice for most north of 66 (for Friday)

GFS manages to squeak out a little Christmas Day snow TV for some folks in northern Maryland. Torchmas

You ignored the post above it where I honked for a miller A 14 days out

Also on AIFS ens.... please remember we seem to have pretty much decided it can't tell the difference between snow/IP/FRZA/etc - but I see this as the total amount of wintry precip it's seeing for Friday. Just gotta mentally convert it to a QPF map

Deep range but AIFS is lit up at the very end of the run. Quite a signal for days 14-16… mock it all ya want.

A rainbow of options for sure. I'm going to (likely) be in Staunton for this one so I don't think I care too much what happens. Probably face the wrath of my girlfriend and retreat back to DC if it somehow trends to a higher end advisory storm, otherwise I'm fine missing a sleet/ice mess.

It’s not a perfect comparison but trusting a single good poster on Twitter for how the whole season is gonna go will work as well as trusting a fantasy football analyst for your week to week start/sits. Nobody knows. Strange things happen. Random players can have a home run game. We’ve got 3 months to go in winter where it can be significantly snowy around here. Cannot possibly wave a white flag yet.

I like the flurries it shows on the 23rd lol

It's the iciest model in the world. Always disregard unless something similar is shown by literally every other model. Whole GEM suite is usually too cold at the surface at range (and pretty close to gametime)