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WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
NorthArlington101 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
12k is def HRRR like with the best stuff rolling through Cville - actually a fairly impactful little band. 3K says it hopes everyone likes .5". But both are improved -
D.C. (Union Station - 33') NW Arlington (358') 12/05: 1.5" 1.5" 12/14: 0.4" 1" 1/25: 8" (SN/IP) 8.5" (SN/IP) TOTAL: 9.9" 11"
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WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
NorthArlington101 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR has more utility than the SREFs but agree with the sentiment. Just wanted to kick off the 18z cycle with a decent run! -
WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
NorthArlington101 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR still pretty juiced but it shifted things south this run. Not gonna worry about this one much til tomorrow... would really just like a dusting -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
NorthArlington101 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
EPS/AIFS is honking for VA beach/NC again for the pt.2 of the midweek thing. Rich get richer -
I'm still at a C. One 5" snowstorm with sleet isn't gonna get me past average. Would be a C- if the snowpack wasn't sticking around.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
NorthArlington101 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
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WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
NorthArlington101 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Sounds like you’re jealous of my 0.4” incher. I think we might even be able to add a couple tenths if we squint -
WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
NorthArlington101 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Least the FV3 doesn't blank us. I'd lock this up if I was able to -
WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
NorthArlington101 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is gonna be a weak little system. Would be nice to get a consensus for a 1" strip somewhere but it may never happen. Might just need to wait til the day of and see. -
NorthArlington101 started following WxUSAF's weak ass frontal passage thing.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
NorthArlington101 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Every model has their strengths and weaknesses. The Euro apparently can’t handle sleet/freezing rain. The 3k is bad at WAA precip total. The GFS isn’t a functional model. Gotta use your tools right. -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
NorthArlington101 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Clipper after clipper. I can deal with it They aren’t gonna perform well with mesoscale details but I’d be okay trusting its general output at this range. Whether it’s .05 or .15 of snow is a minute detail that I would trust it to grasp atp -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
NorthArlington101 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
AI had it but literally a dusting really… T-.5”. AI liked the Friday clipper better as well -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
NorthArlington101 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
NorthArlington101 replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
AIFS much better. Where is @stormtracker to unpanic?

