NorthArlington101

I was looking at the models this morning and feeling bad for our North Carolina/SE VA weenies but they mostly seem to be feeling okay? I took a very quick glance at the AIFS & its ens and thought the world would've exploded.

I meant what I said earlier that echos what @Heisy said. We’d all probably have better forecasts and expectations only looking at the AIFS until Day 3 or so when you start adding short range models for precip/temps. But that’s no fun. I love living and dying by each model run

What if I told you the ICON was?

AIFS is on board. And I mean most things show it. But yeah, broke the don’t look at the GFS vow after about 3 hours. Oops

Sketchy surface temps. But that’s our normal.

The surgery provided a convenient excuse

You could make a compelling case today that the only guidance worth looking at until the short range for Ptype is the AIFS and you’d probably be right. This hobby is a lot less fun that way but it’s perhaps the way we are rolling.

UVA didn't mess around with their removal when I was a student there. Pretty darn good... only day I had trouble was during COVID trying to get to grounds during an ice storm. That was a little stupid.

Unfortunate coincidence. Could've been partying in an absurd mansion in Aspen. But I don't like traveling during the winter in case it snows here, so all good anyway. Not upset at all

Ah, a more classic fall line storm. Would hurt to risk raining in D.C. the second precip moves into the area again, but it's refreshing to see something "normal"

Me too! Especially because I won’t be able to walk in the snow after the leg lengthening surgery

I’ve got a very minor surgery and my girlfriend has a flight out on the 12. I’d lock that one in.

Guess nobody is paying attention right now - AIFS hits us for @WxUSAF's period

My girlfriend is at Georgetown Law and I honestly think if city public and private schools are open, you all should be too. Probably should’ve been open on Wednesday, tbh. But not mad- just jealous. Enjoy your virtual classes!