NorthArlington101

CMC is game. Looking pretty real.

Sporadically on his remaining channels. I'm not actually in any of them - just get them shared through the grapevine and try to pass them along here. Was honking late Jan - early Feb as his favorite period since Jan 2022.

This is the HM storm...

I don't have Kuchera maps but widespread 10-15" - dc sorta gets holed somehow but it's fine.

Flips the sleet lever a little earlier anyway. Still should be a fine run.

At minimum all of this is snow on the GFS AI: Most of us lose 700mb by a hair between 72-78... where totals jump to this. Lot of sleet after.

Warmest surface temps I can find. No matter what Ptype, this is gonna be pretty sick at least. Really hard to do this around here.

Correct:

GFS is a 1’+ for everyone, and I pretty much mea everyone. Hope it’s doing okay thermal wise. Nice to see the hires FV3 also chilly.

The period HM was honking wasn't the storm this weekend really... it was next week and the first week or so of February. Food for thought.

Warm layers can 100% race north quickly, though I'm still not gonna worry about NAM ptype until tomorrow at 06z at earliest

From my 4 years in Cville... it can hang on a bit more with the CAD. Honestly, I think you'll do fairly similar to a lot of NOVA on this storm, though that take might age badly. Don't think you really sleet that much more, think you turn to sleet sooner but also start a bit sooner. Really significant FRZA seems increasingly unlikely to me. Feel like it's snow -> sleet for most of us.

One day you have to go outside of work hours! I think we've had this convo before, but I live fairly close to Other Half in Ivy City. Come to Succotash today too Not as beer-adventurous as Other Half, but it'll be fun.