NorthArlington101

NWS has DC at 2”. I’m bummed that the jackpot zone will so clearly not be here, but I feel much better here than I would in Loudoun - no offense. I don’t think we’re cooked. Might change my mind in a few hours though

It had been skunking us for days but is now essentially identical to the Euro

EURO went the wrong way a little bit but still fine if you have expectations in line. Definitely doesn’t lose precip to rain.

Temp crash is gonna be stressful and I might end up wrong but I’m not worried about it if the rates that are promised come. Kind of a chicken and egg thing. If it’s ripping and dark and temps are crashing, we're fine. If we’re stuck on the SW end and fringed, the UKIE is probably doing an okay job. I’m just thrilled with the WSW (west-southwest, not winter storm warning - tho I do think NEmd gets upgraded later) trend this morning. Hope that runs to game time.

UKIE is in the range of models on precip but it insists it’s mostly rain. Gonna first lean on all other models, the NWS, and WPC on ptype

Sorry I was trying to factor in your location. You worrying about more N usually is bad for most of us

?? this is better than 06z for almost everyone here

Nice jump west

NAM is actually gonna reel the mountains and Loudoun crowd back in

NAM looks fine. Shouldn’t be a disaster. Least the 12k

It’s an IMBY sport, but do think people should always try and caveat their statements about who it’s a best run for, lol. Really like the LWX map. Probably wouldn’t change a thing. It’s about time NE MD got pummeled. Feeling like 1.5” or so is the bar for DC. Wouldn’t want to be any more west or south of that.

Delayed due to a data issue. Not worth staying up for

UKIE isn’t exactly awesome at thermals. Given nothing else showing so much precip lost to rain, I’m gonna do a weenie move and toss the snow output and just look at the QPF

Is the 00z out? I’ve only got 18z on WxBell, which wasn’t awesome, so it would be a good shift.