BoulderWX
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Yeah… I’m wondering the same since I got weenied for essentially posting facts (path shifted east and it’s 65mph currently), and then saying it looks on track to hit as a cat 1 lol. Would love to know what he took issue with.
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Official forecast shifts east and continues to be progged as a Cat 1 at landfall. Everything seems to be on track intensity wise. 65 mph at last update
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Almost all prognostications have kept this a cat 1, around 85mph. I still think it has a good shot of becoming a hurricane which would be in line with the expectation. Could be wrong, but if it reaches hurricane status it’s not a bust. just because some people speculate, doesn’t mean that’s what the official forecast was. And we all know model guidance varies widely with every storm. Most topped it out as a cat 2 and I didn’t see one official forecast going to cat 2. Highest was 100, which may end up too high, but again, not by much.
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Another view…
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Eyewall looks to be forming with some lightning strikes around the center. May not matter downstream but seems to be ahead of schedule.
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Circulation becoming more evident on Brownsville Radar. I think she tops out around 90mph before weakening before landfall due to some pretty strong shear
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Plots by Model via Allan Huffman
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Not a garden variety storm for many…
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Watching a great lightning storm on my porch with my son who just said “I love weather”. That’s what it’s all about.
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I find it best to ignore people who make generalized statements like that. Based off of nothing but emotions. Especially when one or two storms can make a winter for this region. as for right now, storms passing just south of me in morris county but hear the thunder and see the lightning
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3.45” in southern morris county since 545
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2.30” in 1 hour
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.50” in 20 minutes in Morris County
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Only people who don’t understand how hurricane forecasts work called it Armageddon. Everyone else knew that indications for and still are for an above average hurricane season. This happens every single year.
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Nope… won’t let me change my name. Also doesn’t change the fact that your posts are obnoxious and repetitive.
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Crazy idea… don’t watch. Youve posted non stop about how little rain you’ll get in RDU. talk about insufferable.
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Nice storm making its way into Morristown. Much needed rain.
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Seems reasonable. Central Jersey seems to be the “winner” in this one. Most action looks to stay south of Staten Island
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Today was always going to be a have and have not situation. Some will see 3-5 while most see less than half an inch.
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.80 in 30 minutes in Morristown area
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Not sure how this isn’t warned
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I’m near Morristown and the sky is certainly ominous. We need the rain badly.
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We shall see
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2.4”
