radarman

They can go freeze their asses off on east winds at Fenway while the ski crowd is all tanned up with burgers and beers and short sleeves

Why would March snow piss anyone off? 2012 ain't walking through that door.

Do calendars run ensembles now too?

Some of us pat ourselves on the back for remembering the big snowstorms from that year. You remember the other days in between. Just a whole 'nother level.

Napes ftl

I'll happily sign for a few fluffy inches in the interior with the s/w passage. Nam kind of hints at it. The base is set up, now need to address the surfaces.

Yep. Conway MA feb 25th 2017 Thanks Ryan for this one: https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/news/local/possible-tornado-in-western-massachusetts/30062/

All snow here in this part of the valley as well. Maybe another half inch almost. Seems likely to slot here soon, maybe we get a few more snsh later on again before the system finally pulls away

Yeah it's ugly. Raining fairly heavily now, 32 degrees. Higher terrain could get bad.

I think it has more promise for short term advection based nowcasting algorithms. Google has code in github you can run. IMO it's still not as good as DFT based approaches but closer and could eventually be an improvement. At some point it may be able to somewhat resolve CI based on implied OFB positions. A DFT based alg won't be able to do that.

It's been awful with cyclogenesis this year. Next time you read a magazine article pimping how AI based models will soon be better than physics based models, take the believe it when you see it approach.

I like the 1-2 line summary record keeping and do the same. Here's mine: 24/25 30.5" 12/5 7.5" Strong clipper, surface low dropping through ON/QC, cold air in place, s/sw flow jacked here to Kev. Sticky, trees caked. Overperformer. 12/8 .5" Weak clipper, not much moisture. Forcing mostly north. 2-4" higher terrain 12/16 .5" NE fringe of a deamplifying wave bringing WAA snows and drizzle further south. 12/20 1" Ocean storm trending west, incoming clipper, fluffy sn- all day. 4-8" near Boston, 3-6" ENY 12/24 1" Trailing cold front from clipper moving north of here. Dry, dense snow. Small flakes. White Xmas 1/2 2" Lake Ontario narrow streamer lined up perfectly. SN++, light, convective. Lucked out 1/11 3.5" Northern stream s/w with unphased ocean storm ots. Very fluffy, moderate snow all morning. 1/19 4" Wave forming on arctic front behind initial -rn storm. Quick hit, very fluffy. 1/30 1" very light, southern edge of a clipper precip shield. Periodic snsh afterwards and wind. 4-6" N Berks. 2/3 2.5" dense. Fast moving clipper, cold air in place. Widespread 2-4" across SNE 2/6 1.75" dense. Quick hit, weak swfe. Mostly sn but bad growth. Cold, bad radar. 2/9 4.5". 3" dense from WAA, 1.5" fluff. Mod bust, MA in subby zone. Fast mover, 2ndary shot east, snow in VT. 2/10 .25" persistent backbuilding mid morning snsh on weak CAA 2/13 .5" front end of a weak and warm swfe. Followed by ice and some rain. Net loss

Nice, thanks. FWIW I have 30" here very near where you show 21" just SW of Quabbin.

I've noticed over the years that the nam occasionally has weird precip issues that look to be more of a software bug than valid output, albeit with its own caveats. If look at all the other model parameters there they aren't discontinuous run to run in the same way that precip is.

We've checked off the remember when we used to get clippers and remember when we used to get nickel and dime events this year. Maybe in March or next year we bowl.