radarman

here in the battleground area, we'll take small victories when we can... the 3km being colder than the 12km for example

Yeah the euro has been probably the worst model for this one. Still playing catchup.

Pretty big model battle underway for day 2.5. Skynet could be way out to lunch here or would be a helluva coup if this whiffs n of the pike. Gfs is just right.

Ice fishing in Ludlow in a low torchy spot... ice is 16". Up in the higher more protected terrain it's gotta be 2 feet I bet

Well that clears things up

The Beast pass getting better by the year

local bust-- half inch last night no biggie but RGEM, GFS, 12km Nam had all advertised a good amount more at various points. Let's keep the Euro streak going for the next one.

Some kind of sleety snow crap but looks like a bust

It's actually matching up quite well across Ontario IMO... the sim radar product could be thresholded a bit and may not pick up the weak echoes that extend down across C PA and back into MI, but that stuff won't amount to much anyway.

I usually like the Nam and think it's underrated as a tool in the box, but it's really struggled lately. That said, I approve of the weenie stripe IMBY. It's dead on this time I'm sure.

Nam ramped down on the last one as we approached and was wrong. 2-4" sounds good here

Got it this morning (see below). Bit of a random stat but pick any number and it seems impressive.

When you're running the longest stretch of chilly high temps in over a hundred years it's a low bar to say the worst is likely over (after a few more cold days w/snow)

Nam hinting at an IVT again this run. Maybe a poor man's version of yesterday, displaced north?

Agree, meso's ftl in this event. Nam (3 and 12km) especially seemed to be ramping down as we got close to practically nothing. And while the euro and others impressively nailed the Ginxy band, they might have overdone the subsidence to the west of there in the valley. Anyway, we take.