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USCG RS

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Everything posted by USCG RS

  1. USCG RS
    ICON is as good as a pop icon. Looks pretty but not much too it.
  2. USCG RS
    That crippled nyc and left persons stranded on highways.
  3. USCG RS
    LI may be lining up for a heck of a hit... I may need to get some crow to cook.
  4. USCG RS
    Anthony's a met in his own mind....
  5. USCG RS
    I agree with you. I was worried about this from the get go and then doubted myself with the confluence. But - like I stated - I originally thought that the Coastal plain would have a hard time taking a strong hit from this.
  6. USCG RS
    The pna continues to forecast going neutral, however, it keeps getting pushed back, and is now looking to potentially do so just after the storm. That withstanding, the negative tilt looks to hurt rather than help the Coastal plain and the amping looks to flood the Coastal plain. Again, I could be - and would gladly be - wrong. But just my two cents.
  7. USCG RS
    I said this on another board. An interior and North hit has made the most sense to me from day one. I know I waivered with confluence... However, I don't believe this is a Coastal plain hit. The pattern hasn't supported it all winter and the Pacific is again flexing its muscles. Combined with LA Nina, I really don't see the Coastal plain taking a hard hit. That withstanding, the big cities - and more specifically - N and W, I expect these areas to take a pretty hard hit. DC and BWI are in the game as well as they will stay west of the LP. Just my opinion. I've eaten plenty of crow before, so I wouldn't mind eating more (sustained me through covid) Lastly, the waters are warm. This will favor a quicker intensification and negative tilt. Likewise, if the storm stalls and the coast takes a prolonged period of easterly winds, this bodes ominously as well.
  8. USCG RS
    Any forecast for the area? Or still too early?
  9. USCG RS
    The upper levels on the 00z Euro do not quite support MSLP. The phase is just a hair off also. I would be interested to see the ensembles and I would say that the Euro is off kilter currently.
  10. USCG RS
    Exactly.
  11. USCG RS
    Eh. I doubt it.
  12. USCG RS
    That was the brightest lightning I have seen in a rather long time. I'm over in north Babylon currently.
  13. USCG RS
    We're missing that and the mid levels torched due to winds off the ocean.
  14. USCG RS
    Yeah. This is exactly what I was worried about as models began to amp and move this NW.
  15. USCG RS
    NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... While there have been areas of heavy snow the last couple of hours, the most organized band of heavy snow has worked north of the region. To the south, the precipitation has become more disjointed with reports of sleet working in across the NYC metro and Long Island. There could be some wavering the next couple of hours as intensity varies, but it appears NYC and Long Island will not see much more in the way of heavy snow. There could still be an additional 6 or more inches across the Lower Hudson Valley, interior NE NJ, and southern CT through the end of the event. Across the NYC metro and Long Island, perhaps an additional 1 to 3 inches. This could be pushing it, but it will depend on how quickly the cold air can be drawn back in around the surface low passing to the south in the morning. Thus, the storm total snow has been adjusted downward with as little as 3 to 5 inches across eastern Long Island, 5 to 10 inches across the NYC metro and western Long Island, and 10 to 15 inches to the north. This downward trend may have to be continued with subsequent updates depending on the evolution of the precipitation shield to the south and west as a strong negatively tilted shortwave trough approaches the region. Regional radar clearly shows back filling on the radar across the northern Mid Atlantic region, which will pivot NE. Gust NE to E winds will become more northerly as the low pulls east towards daybreak, which will allow colder air to filter back into the region, possibly changing precipitation back to snow toward the end of the event. NE winds could gust to 35-45 mph across much of the area overnight, with gusts to 45-55 mph possible across far eastern Long Island. This will result in limited visibilities, but with mainly mixed precipitation with the strongest winds, visibilities will generally be greater than a 1/4 mile. OKX discussion from 2307 16 December 2020
  16. USCG RS
    LI and S CT actually had higher rates in Feb 2013
  17. USCG RS
    Feb 2013 had it for Suffolk County
  18. USCG RS
    Clashing of the two airmasses causing frontogenesis?
  19. USCG RS
    All hail and bow at my feet Is what I believe you were trying to say
  20. USCG RS
  21. USCG RS
    a 1004 mb low will rain down fire and Ice while pigs fly because it is armageddon and the music is playing (the best of Tommy E) as the ship sinks. ANDDDD the mashed potato sundae is our last meal. See. Got it.
  22. USCG RS
    Eh, maybe I was just seeing something vague and interpreting it how I wanted to. Gets the job done though
  23. USCG RS
    Yeah, what Doorman was hinting at last night and what has been a concern of mine for the past couple of days.
  24. USCG RS
    With that type of HP anchored in, thats a nice hard hit for the entire sub forum.
  25. USCG RS
    I would say that's a pretty perfect spot for the entire subforum.
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