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USCG RS

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Everything posted by USCG RS

  1. USCG RS
    Its more about being a strung out mess than suppression here. The stronger the LP, the more it will push N, NW. It has the room at H5.
  2. USCG RS
    That damn nws... Nvm. On a more serious note, has anyone been looking at the gulf? Things exploding. I wouldn't be surprised to see those 1 inch contours shift north in real time
  3. USCG RS
    Comes down to duration. Need to hit 6 inches avg in 12 hours or 8 inches average in 24. The average of 5-9 is 7. So it falls short as this is longer than 12 hrs.
  4. USCG RS
    I remember this as well. Yaphank was getting slammed with heavy snow and then you went 8-10 miles west and it was nothing.
  5. USCG RS
    I remember Paul Kocin on the NWS explaining what went wrong later that evening.
  6. USCG RS
    This is just flat wrong. Texas has different winter weather than NY. So while two inches of snow is nothing for Long Island, it's crippling for other parts of the country. Just look at what a small bit of - Zr did to the DFW area a few days ago regarding a serious MVA. A WSW is warranted for the entirety of the state.
  7. USCG RS
    I am having trouble finding the verification scores, however, The ICON is German and the model we use is their 13 km resolution. It is much like our GFS,, good only for macroscale patterns and views. They have a 7 and 2 km, much like our NAM and other more short range, high resolution models. In Germany, the higher resolution ICON is actually preferred to the Euro at times.
  8. USCG RS
    This is a classic set up for a significant ice storm down to the coast. Snow pack is still pretty fresh and that's a heck of a cold air source draining down. I would not be surprised for wintry precip, including Zr.
  9. USCG RS
    They would be, assuming it was a strong likely hood of a large ice storm.
  10. USCG RS
    This reminds me of a January event several years back, where the LP virtually crossed LI and it was -Zn
  11. USCG RS
    With how dense the cold is and the snow pack, I wouldn't be surprised is the rn/sn lines shift south, as perhaps where the LP pops does as well.
  12. USCG RS
    Not anymore, at least from what I have seen. They are balls to the wall lately. Not sure if they're right or wrong... Just an observation.
  13. USCG RS
    Split the difference?
  14. USCG RS
    Well NYC is about to pay out some $$$
  15. USCG RS
    Hi Elijah
  16. USCG RS
    If the NAM is correct then this may be a wider scale February 2013.
  17. USCG RS
    If that H7 stays just South and East, the entire region is BURIED.
  18. USCG RS
    Euro just came in colder. Hm.
  19. USCG RS
    Dry slots as H7 moves overhead.
  20. USCG RS
    Neither the Euro nor the NAM are giving in. Interesting. In these situations, the NAM tends to win tbh. I said NAM and win in the same sentence.. yeah.
  21. USCG RS
    @jm1220 I would say that Euro is likely a bit too far North and West. A 30 mile SE shift is huge. We will see.
  22. USCG RS
    Euro is Western edge and tucked. Nam is Eastern edge. We have a rather tight consensus developing.
  23. USCG RS
  24. USCG RS
  25. USCG RS
    Yeah - Just did some research to double check myself. Turned out I was wrong. I remember when they got rid of the watches, they were contemplating losing the warings as well. Guess they overruled.
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