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Everything posted by USCG RS
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I remember Paul Kocin on the NWS explaining what went wrong later that evening. -
This is just flat wrong. Texas has different winter weather than NY. So while two inches of snow is nothing for Long Island, it's crippling for other parts of the country. Just look at what a small bit of - Zr did to the DFW area a few days ago regarding a serious MVA. A WSW is warranted for the entirety of the state.
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I am having trouble finding the verification scores, however, The ICON is German and the model we use is their 13 km resolution. It is much like our GFS,, good only for macroscale patterns and views. They have a 7 and 2 km, much like our NAM and other more short range, high resolution models. In Germany, the higher resolution ICON is actually preferred to the Euro at times.
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This is a classic set up for a significant ice storm down to the coast. Snow pack is still pretty fresh and that's a heck of a cold air source draining down. I would not be surprised for wintry precip, including Zr.
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Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
This reminds me of a January event several years back, where the LP virtually crossed LI and it was -Zn -
Additional 1-5" snow mostly North of I80 Tuesday Feb 9
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
With how dense the cold is and the snow pack, I wouldn't be surprised is the rn/sn lines shift south, as perhaps where the LP pops does as well. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Not anymore, at least from what I have seen. They are balls to the wall lately. Not sure if they're right or wrong... Just an observation. -
2-7-21 Sunday 8-12 hour nor'easter snowstorm roughly 5A-5P
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Split the difference? -
Well NYC is about to pay out some $$$
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If the NAM is correct then this may be a wider scale February 2013.
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If that H7 stays just South and East, the entire region is BURIED.
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Neither the Euro nor the NAM are giving in. Interesting. In these situations, the NAM tends to win tbh. I said NAM and win in the same sentence.. yeah.
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@jm1220 I would say that Euro is likely a bit too far North and West. A 30 mile SE shift is huge. We will see.
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Euro is Western edge and tucked. Nam is Eastern edge. We have a rather tight consensus developing.
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Yeah - Just did some research to double check myself. Turned out I was wrong. I remember when they got rid of the watches, they were contemplating losing the warings as well. Guess they overruled.
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They did. Edit: I thought they did. They only purged the watches.
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Yes. I was expecting the Pacific to pump the heights, flood the warmth and allow for several inches of rain into the Metro Area. Instead, we may end of with several inches of LEquiv snow.
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Yeah... I remember both of those were pretty good for LI.
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