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USCG RS

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Everything posted by USCG RS

  1. USCG RS
    I would like a break.
  2. USCG RS
    Very much so. Unfortunately, this is why I am expecting LI to take a hard hit.
  3. USCG RS
    TBH, I do not see anyway for this to escape. The NAO is plummeting, allowing the HP to flex West. The Northern and Southern HP are already connecting. I just do not see this being able to escape.
  4. USCG RS
    This is really giving me a C LI bullseye feel.
  5. USCG RS
    Enough to knock out the lights though
  6. USCG RS
    I haven't seen lightning like this in a long time
  7. USCG RS
  8. USCG RS
    That was quote the show in Smithtown. I was there and lake Grove for it.
  9. USCG RS
    Correct. While this is the potential for a person or two to be found alive, this is a slim possibility as well. The likelihood is that all persons missing are deceased.
  10. USCG RS
    @weatherwiz @CoastalWx @Typhoon Tip or anyone else who may know... Completely OT question. Are damage survey teams made up strictly of meteorologists?
  11. USCG RS
    Did someone say CG?
  12. USCG RS
    Soundings would say only the sfc goes above freezing, if at all. A good quick thump would cool the column. Plus, waters are not nearly as warm as a month ago.
  13. USCG RS
  14. USCG RS
    Its more about being a strung out mess than suppression here. The stronger the LP, the more it will push N, NW. It has the room at H5.
  15. USCG RS
    That damn nws... Nvm. On a more serious note, has anyone been looking at the gulf? Things exploding. I wouldn't be surprised to see those 1 inch contours shift north in real time
  16. USCG RS
    Comes down to duration. Need to hit 6 inches avg in 12 hours or 8 inches average in 24. The average of 5-9 is 7. So it falls short as this is longer than 12 hrs.
  17. USCG RS
    I remember this as well. Yaphank was getting slammed with heavy snow and then you went 8-10 miles west and it was nothing.
  18. USCG RS
    I remember Paul Kocin on the NWS explaining what went wrong later that evening.
  19. USCG RS
    This is just flat wrong. Texas has different winter weather than NY. So while two inches of snow is nothing for Long Island, it's crippling for other parts of the country. Just look at what a small bit of - Zr did to the DFW area a few days ago regarding a serious MVA. A WSW is warranted for the entirety of the state.
  20. USCG RS
    I am having trouble finding the verification scores, however, The ICON is German and the model we use is their 13 km resolution. It is much like our GFS,, good only for macroscale patterns and views. They have a 7 and 2 km, much like our NAM and other more short range, high resolution models. In Germany, the higher resolution ICON is actually preferred to the Euro at times.
  21. USCG RS
    This is a classic set up for a significant ice storm down to the coast. Snow pack is still pretty fresh and that's a heck of a cold air source draining down. I would not be surprised for wintry precip, including Zr.
  22. USCG RS
    They would be, assuming it was a strong likely hood of a large ice storm.
  23. USCG RS
    This reminds me of a January event several years back, where the LP virtually crossed LI and it was -Zn
  24. USCG RS
    With how dense the cold is and the snow pack, I wouldn't be surprised is the rn/sn lines shift south, as perhaps where the LP pops does as well.
  25. USCG RS
    Not anymore, at least from what I have seen. They are balls to the wall lately. Not sure if they're right or wrong... Just an observation.
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