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Everything posted by USCG RS
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Yup. Thank you. So many do not understand this. Underestimating can cost a tremendous increase in the length of outages
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Explodes is relative of course.
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It's going to come down to intensity. This explodes, it's going west. This stays weak, it's going East. Personally, I'm camp w.
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What you doing next to me NJ?? Edit: I may have read your name wrong...
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So what you guys are saying is that I should take both of what you all say and split the difference for an accurate forecast?
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I stand by my C LI. I think this is going to be a hard hit and right into the Sayville area. East side is winds, surge and heavy rain. West is a heck of a lot of rain. Then there is the stall. This is a potential disaster in the making. I try to be conservative. I try to not raise an alarm. This is not one of those times I can afford to be more measured. It is time to be prepared. Henri is beginning to get its act together and a quick bout of intensification over the gulf stream could spell disaster for LI/SNE.
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Synoptically.. To me... This is a C LI hit.
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About time you showed up.
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Thanks for the explanation.
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A while back (I believe it was with Hurricane Matthew), I read about about a system that was actually creating shear, leading to a favorable interaction with the hurricane because it was allowing the storm more outflow, despite it technically being sheer. I was wondering if this is what you meant. A system close enough to interreacting, is actually creating a channel for outflow for Henri. There was a specific name in a study for this, but I cannot remember it off the top of my head.
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Supposed to. But everything is CYA nowadays. I actually agree with the hurricane warning, because I believe it will hit as a hurricane, however, this is a CYA Warning
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This was the same for the watch. It had lower winds. They are giving the headlines to prepare the population, while officially forecasting a tropical storm impact.
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Are you thinking a macroscale favorable interaction with the remnants allowing for poleward venting?
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Wow. That's.. Wow. The nerd in me is very very very intrigued.
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Yeah. Unfortunately, our grid is in no shape to take this type of hit. Neither are the trees for that matter. Likewise, we have to remember that this begins to slow down significantly at our latitude and this could significantly prolong impacts.
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Ill be honest, I believe we should be preparing for this possibility. It will not take much for this thing to strengthen to this, especially over the gulf stream.
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And then politicians look at us and go why didn't you prepare us for this?
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Very much appreciated, thank you.
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Our infrastructure is horrific. Tree trimming has not been kept up with. Poles and lines are old. Trees are still ripe for destruction.
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Serious question... What are your thoughts? Would be helpful for some decision making for clients/red cross.
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Given the synoptic set up, I would think they have the right idea... Thoughts?
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