USCG RS
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Yes and no. What it normally means is you give it more computing power. Then you add different parameters in because of the excess computer power. So when you upgrade the power of a computer, you allow it to run more calculations in a much quicker fashion. As such, an upgrade is really allowing more data to be processed. This extra data - in theory - produces a more accurate result. Sometimes it will change outcomes in various directions and for this reason the algorithms are tweaked, however, an upgrade is not simply changing the software. -
I agree. As has been said, this is a very delicate set up. Suppression is a threat for N Mid Atl and NE (ie North of the Mason Dixon) however, a speed up by the southern stream, a slow down by the northern, a displacement of the baroclynic zone, and more will determine where this eventually sets up. Also, we have impulses of energy racing every couple of days. This is a pattern where you have to just be patient and see how the pieces progress. For those who want snow in the NE and mid atl, this is a pretty good pattern. Just be patient. This storm is not done with or set in stone. Not to mention, we have plenty of S/Ws in both streams.
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So you're going to break both their hearts and ruin our snow? You shall pay for your insolence!
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Tbh, given the SSTs and artic cold behind the front.. I would place the boundary closer, rather than farther, to the coast
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@LibertyBell It is because the developer was hoping the name would attract clientele (back in the late 1860s and 1870s). https://ny.curbed.com/2013/6/27/10226192/the-upper-class-brooklyn-resorts-of-the-victorian-era
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To be fair, OKX had this thought process. Called for a coating, with up to an inch just NW of NYC, so they may have been a bit low, however, they called this pretty well. "The northern edge of the precip shield continues to advance northward towards the area with snow now being reported as far north as Somerset Airport in NJ. There is a sharp gradient in temperatures closer to the coast with rain along the NJ coastal plain. We are also seeing temperatures across eastern Long Island rise into the middle 30s this evening. Data coming in from the 00z OKX RAOB depicts the warming just at the surface right now, but the warm advection is increasing as indicated by strengthening low level E flow. Think some light snow should break out in the NYC metro between 00-01z and then quickly advance northward through 03-04z. Some snow may briefly mix in across Eastern Long Island, but should become plain rain as temperatures rise. Increasing S flow should overwhelm cooling from aloft and bring a change to all rain across Long Island, most of the NYC metro area by late evening and for coastal CT by midnight. Most of these places could see a coating of accumulation, and up to inch just N and W of NYC, and across S CT. Cold ground temps even as temps rise above freezing could lead to spotty light freezing rain, with SPS issued for those areas." https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
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Tbh, I am with you. There is more of a suppression or OTS chance here than inland runner. Given the macro-scale players, I would think that an inland runner is just about off the table. But, that's just me.
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And to think.. I liked you.
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100%
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I agree here. It is not the job of a poster - professional or otherwise - to be responsible for the behavior of persons who are gong to obsess over the storm. A thread is a thread and the more information we have, the better. I don't want to pile on the original poster because I can understand the sentiment, however, to hold someone accountable for starting a legitimate thread due to other persons actions/behaviors is... Just no.
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AO looks to tank for next weekend, so the chance of a cutter looks rather low IMHO. The AO is flying up for the current storm, one of the reasons that I was really not too bullish for the storm hitting us tomorrow.
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Yup. Been saying for days that there is nothing to lock in this cold air. The HP is moving East and the one on the West Coast will not be here in time. Combined with a significantly strengthening storm from the deep South, this is going to stay rather far West.
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Sounds like they need a good Emergency Manager....
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It looks like a quasi-squall line develops. That would easily mix down those gusts. Much like Isaias
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Unfortunately, this - meteorologically - has made the most sense for a while. No banana HP. Rapidly strengthening storm over the deep south. This is going to push right in up through CPA and potentially through W NYS. Heck this could end up in the OH River Valley. The trough turns negative very very early, phases in a lot of energy and has nothing to force a transfer.
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Yup. This is exactly what I was saying and why I think the coast torches. Unfortunately.
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If I might ask - what is your reasoning?
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Given the current state of the tele's, combined with a storm bombing out in the deep South, I really do not see this as a storm for the immediate coast. Someone is going to get a serious blizzard, however, that someone is unlikely to be the coast Imo. Would love to be wrong, though.
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Because they honestly have no scientific value to them in general. However, this far out is pure fantasy
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Sorry snowman. That really sucks man.
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That would be some band
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Eh. Guess my post was deleted. Anyway, Forky looking correct as usual when he posts positively
