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USCG RS

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Everything posted by USCG RS

  1. Unfortunately these bands create subsidence. The most annoying part.
  2. The H5 is trying to close south of LI, which looks to have a good shot, especially considering the back building and the winds increasing. If that happens... Just about everyone should be happy.
  3. The SW most low is attempting to take over. Given the pushing back west of banding and the winds kicking up, it just may...
  4. That's all you need to know for the rest of this storm brother.
  5. Rememver how I said I was going down with my ship? See... I'm a rescue swimmer. So I needed to do so to rescue...
  6. Like I said, I am going down with the ship, however, I am not buying the East shifts. Given H3/5/7... This has a KU hit all over it.
  7. This is not over by any means. TBH. Its close. Perhaps I am just going down the ship here, but I am still not writing this off.
  8. That was not only a Forecasting nightmare... I still have Emergency Management nightmares from that.
  9. https://kamala.cod.edu/ma/latest.fxus61.KBOX.html
  10. Yeah - that is why I actually just pulled my post. I misunderstood what they were saying. BOX AFD is all in however. Heck of write up.
  11. Watch 00z swing back with heavy hits across the board.
  12. 20,000 feet controls the sfc though. What happens at the sfc is really controlled by what takes place at the upper levels, with rather rare exception. Edit - The biggest issue I have normally seen against this has to do with the time translate to the sfc. But, this lag is normally not that long. In this particular instance, it may actually make some changes regarding sensible weather.
  13. If you compare the 18z NAM with obs, the trough is essentially Neutral vs somewhat positive (on the model). As such, I would take the 18z and shift it West by 50 or so miles.
  14. If you look at H25/3/5/7.... This is a beast for the area. This is why I am still thinking that this will be a pretty hard hit around here.
  15. When there is a double low that actually develops, why does this happen? I have actually never understood the physic of this.
  16. Unfortunately, I am pretty buried in work right now, but initially it looked incorrect. I will go through it when I have a bit more time, though half the reason I asked for confirmation. I know glancing quickly and having a desire can easily skew perception.
  17. Given current OBS - Euro does not appear to be lining up. Unless I am just wishing here.. Can someone else confirm I am not crazy ?
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