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Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Keep an eye on this. We are still 36 or so hours away and SR models want to back this coastal in. This is not a system to sleep on. -
Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes, I remember this quite well. I lived in Ridge at the time. 1999. We got nearly a foot and it was snowing really hard for a while there. -
Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I could be-and have been before- wrong, but I've seen this song and dance before with the models in this set up. More often than not this area takes at least a significant hit. I would most definitely keep an eye on this. There's a ton of energy around and we have a relatively good macro scale pattern. This is not over yet imo. -
Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?
USCG RS replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Only to Hr 144. Still snowing for the subforum at this point. -
USCG RS started following BornAgain13
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To my understanding, it was more that the latent heat from the sheer amount of lighting in the atmosphere was enough to cause the heat to melt the snow.
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So, during Nemo (Feb 2013), when the two streams actually phased, there was so much volatility and upward motion that it created a significant amount of lighting. This led to so much latent heat release that thunder snow turned to thunder sleet for nearly an hour. It was not the layers of the atmosphere, it was the actual lightning causing the snow to melt and then it refroze before hitting the ground. I always found that fascinating.
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I have always loved the EPO as an indicator for snow in the NE. I will take a -EPO over just about any teleconnection.
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This honestly feels like when I used to live in Long Island. Have family in MB - reportedly a mix
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Simpsonville actually is not that bad...
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As long as it shows us with the most snow**
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Should have moved with me down South
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Some of us were born old.
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If someone had a picture... We would all be really thankful.....
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Not with this storm. No.
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You appear to be right on the cusp. Given the pattern and movement, I would not be surprised if you get a moderate hit.