White Gorilla

If by this time next week models still show that, I will pay attention. Until then, I won't bite, even with high model agreement this far out.

I will proceed with cautious optimism

Any stratosphere warming event possibilities on the horizon to further help us out with arctic cold?

Seems like the Pacific has more of an influence on snowfall in our area than Atlantic. Has there been any research on this broader question?

Good point about how even with a negative NAO and a potential coastal storm track, frozen precip may be marginal without fresh arctic air and instead dealing stale Pacific based cold. Climo definitely becomes more favorable moving forward, but water temps still being so mild would make it tricky for immediate coastal sections without true arctic cold even with a coastal storm track, unless other factors come in like dynamic cooling, etc. Hoping after ages we all can experience a whiter December than we have had in recent years.

I am hearing such mixed signals moving forward... Emerging negative NAO, QBO reversal and solar minimum but with rising EPO and declining PNA. Isn't the AO expected to go positive as well bassist on current guidance? I understand that weekly forecasts are very fickle and changeable.

Yup, remember lots of snow in Jan 82 and the April 82 blizzard. Where I lived in Central MA, we also had a major snowstorm Dec 6, 1981, 18 inches.

I was in first grade up near Worcester, MA and didn't follow the weather, but yeah, I don't remember any big snows. Winter of 80-81 was better. I remember 8 inches of snow Nov 1980. Winter of of 81-82 was rocking as far as snow.

How interesting that a snowstorm hit New England on Oct 10 while a week earlier on Oct 3, one of the deadliest tornados (F4) struck Windsor Locks, CT. (Sorry if this belongs to the banter thread)

I am simply amazed at repeating patterns, especially the cold November, warm December couplet that has been so persistent for so long, especially the warm December. The winter solstice rain and mild is getting very tiresome.

Cool stats, thanks! Very interesting.

Forgot about that cold night.

Anyone remember the last widespread teens reading around these parts before last night? Last March?

Warm and dry, followed by warm and wet followed by cold and dry.... Now it is cold and wet's turn. Kidding aside, pattern evolution should prove interesting to watch over the next month with no clear signal yet if I am correct with mixed forecasts out there.

Nice! Love the first snow, even if little.

I do hope you coasties can cash in soon

It sure looks wintry here in the Mid Hudson Valley and above. The coastal plain is missing out, but they have had their share of snow bonanzas over the past many years while we up here so often got the shafts.

It did end quick, but it sure performed while it could.

Stay safe everyone especially with the ice tomorrow on the ground and extreme cold thereafter. Back end will be moving through giving me a total of 6 inches. We never tainted here with rain.

Love the Flake sizes!

Solid snowfall here in the Poughkeepsie area. Unfortunately my wife got hit from behind while coming home, creating 4-5 k damage. Thankfully she is ok.. As much as I love snow, I hate the risks of injury and damage it creates

Snow over achievers are always welcome.

Well, I enjoyed the pack while it lasted a whopping 4 days.

Freezing rain threat looks to be increasing around route 84, Poughkeepsie area given warmer trends

Fingers crossed.. I am most afraid of power outages that ZR would bring, especially with the brutal cold following the storm.