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White Gorilla

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Everything posted by White Gorilla

  1. Congrats NJ! Great to see such a winter storm right at the start of Met winter. Hoping this is a harbinger of a winter we all cash in with white gold.
  2. ZR/PL mixture here in Dutchess County. Waiting to see if the column can cool to snow with higher precip rates.
  3. Has the NAM historically had hiccup runs like this with complex systems inside 48? We know that the crazy uncle often goes wild with too much qpf, but the other direction?
  4. Meaning the surface low may tend to gravitate towards the heaviest connection offshore?
  5. Will take 8-12 in a Heartbeat. West and North can keep their 12-24
  6. Are there any high res models that historically have had higher verification scores for closed low scenarios?
  7. Big cut down in snow in northern New York and Northern New England. Wonder if that means anything.
  8. Closed low scenarios usually end up surprising someone, only we don't know which direction that surprise will take yet.
  9. Any current negative NAO observations compared to what has been forecasted?
  10. Let us hope the blocking is stronger than modeled
  11. Don't despair too much snow weenies. We are just getting started with met. winter.
  12. Wonder how the meso models will handle the banding features in this type of setup.
  13. Very dependent on the position and track of the upper low as well as position and track of the second coastal low. I have very low confidence on Monday right now.
  14. I wouldn't put too much stock into modeling today. Tomorrow and tomorrow night is when we should pay the most attention
  15. A lot of moving parts to this system which makes me nervous, but yes, potential is high.
  16. Many more Euro solutions to go, but yeah, that map makes sense just based on climo alone
  17. And that is not set in stone, nor do we know duration. Given recent Decembers, it is understandable to be somewhat pessimistic, but I am cautiously optimistic this time around.
  18. I wouldn't throw away December just yet. Models are so fickle.
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