White Gorilla
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Everything posted by White Gorilla
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As if the Euro has been so stellar this season
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Another bait and switch?
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What a tease.
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Timely find indeed. I would like to know as well the factors contributing to the expansion of the Pacific warm pool in that specific area.
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I don't think anyone here said or implied suddenly VA in NY or never a negative NAO. I am sure there will be winters in the future that are cold and snowy. We do have a clue that greenhouse gases are an important part of the climate equation.
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Don, to what extent did the Australian fires contribute to the WPAC SST anomalous warmth that feeds into higher MJO 4-6 phase amplitude and frequency? Do you feel that the WPAC warmth will be a more permanent feature in winters moving forward, thus increasing MJO phase 4-6 impact on our weather?
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Thank you Don for bringing up the greenhouse gas variable into the equation. It is no doubt an increasingly bigger player.
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The bait and switch routine is old now.
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At the same time, don't be the drunk guy at the end of a party when everyone went home saying "Where is everyone? The party just started!"
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Admit it... You still feel that little tingling of excitement... You want to suppress it... You want to ignore it... But the weenie in you can't be denied...
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The Dr is overworked and getting senile
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Dr No. Has there ever been a Dr Yes?
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That means it is a lock to not happen.
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We got a ways to go to figure this out no matter what models might say today.
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It doesn't have to be super arctic cold to snow, just cold enough. This time of the year, we can do it with less than ideal cold air, but it is still a challenge. Depends on storm track, strength and upper level dynamics too.
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Yeah, weenism is a minority club alright...
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"Delayed but not denied part 12"
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The bad luck has to end sometime?
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Anyone know if Earthlight (John) has chimed in on this potential?
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Is the MJO projected to go to into phases 1-2 by then? How much is the pattern MJO driven currently?
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Even with low odds for next weekend, there is hope to ride on. I agree that for now, snow chances are more favorable deeper into Feb as climo and trends in recent years would dictate. Fingers crossed for everyone here.
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In other words a lot has to go right to make this work and very little has to go wrong to make this not work.
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With marginal temps, we will need a very dynamic and deep low in the right spot to generate its own cold air.
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Yes I saw that. That makes it very difficult for phasing to happen earlier in the East given the trough alignment, unless other factors kick in I guess. Even with a raging Pacific, how does the NAO going negative potentially compensate?
