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Everything posted by MillvilleWx
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Quite the slate of football this weekend locally, NFL wise. Ravens at home vs Texans, Philly vs New England in Philly, Redskins game with Haskins starting his first contest. Even the Cowboys fans in the sub have an interesting road test vs Lions. Should be a fun one.
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Hey y'all. Wanted to pass along something that was created by someone in NWS for GR2 placefiles and color curves. There's a site called Placefile Nation which includes templates and color curves that can be utilized by anyone who is interested and invests in GR2. The site will be updated in time and I'm sure they would appreciate any feedback for additions and other ideas. Link is below. This is a really nicely organized site. Highly recommend! https://placefilenation.com/index.php
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If they lose tomorrow, I will be screaming a whole lot of profanities in our Upper Air building while prepping the balloon
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I second this
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Didn't obviously want to post this in the long range thread pertaining to here, but some crazy numbers I was able to pull up via deterministic and ensembles from models for our area. Our average hi/lo for Tuesday next week is 68/40. This is the time frame post front (Monday afternoon/evening FROPA). Current 850 temp progs on guidance are anywhere from 18 to 28C BELOW NORMAL for the time of year. MOS guidance on both the Euro and GFS are running around 24 for a low Tuesday morning with a high barely breaking 40 degrees, which is astonishing at long leads. This sets a total departure potential of -15 to 20F for the low and -25 to 30F for the high. This time of year is uncommon to see these kinds of temperatures impact the area, and especially these numbers at leads. Given the antecedent conditions over western Canada and the Hysplit motioning the air parcels over already ice/snow covered ground, the potential for record breaking cold is increasing with each passing day. Considering model changes for the H85 temps have actually chilled on today's runs, it's very likely this will be one of the colder early season spells in sometime east of the Rockies.
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If this look keeps up, I might be posting earlier than normal this year. Fingers, toes, and a** cheeks crossed. .
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Thank god the Ravens went away from what they were doing early in the game. Can’t be having too much success against the Pats. Why would we ever do that? Smh Cyrus Jones better be selling snow cones after this game. .
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Mid-Atlantic winter 2019-20 snowfall contest
MillvilleWx replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
BWI: 26.5" DCA: 17.8" IAD: 27.2" RIC: 11.8" Tiebreaker (SBY): 13.1" *Guesses subject to change based on future outlooks, model delusions, and a night with a bottle of Crown Vanilla -
Thanks! I look forward to getting back into the swing. Our spring was crazy and summer was hot and dry. Ready for some winter action. In the meantime, I'll enjoy my west Texas fall
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Is everyone here enjoying the chill? I had mine yesterday. 16 degree low, shattering all time October record low. Twas bliss .
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This means that wide spread panic is now assured between 1-2pm EST this winter, ten fold from previous years. Can’t wait .
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Thanks! Visiting family from Texas. I’m heading back later tomorrow. Going to enjoy the morning and early afternoon before I head back to the oven lol .
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*Taps mic* Is this thing on? It's humid here in Germantown y'all
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Nah. Ers and me both made forecasts a few days ago, stuck with our guns, and have been solid so far. Didn’t know if you saw them or not. Not everyone wavers with models in here [emoji2]. LWX did a great job imo. They have had an awesome year. Major kudos. All we got out here is wind and feet of dust this winter lol .
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I was following that forecasted fronto last several days and basing my forecasted snow off of it. Models were somewhat jumpy on the timing and orientation, but settled in yesterday. Good to hear from you. From one Scott to another!! I’m enjoying watching all these posts from sunny, chilly Midland. .
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I'm thinking 2-5" with some ZR for you and my old stomping grounds. Going to look pretty nasty around the area. Can only imagine Harford Rd Jarretsville Pike will be a complete mess
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Midland, Texas lol
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34/24 with clearing skies and scattered dust
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
MillvilleWx replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
IBM Deep Thunder Super-dooper LR Hi Res Ensemble says 2021 we'll see a drive by clipper drop 2". You're safe -
In laws near Laytonsville with just under a foot. 11.9” official with light snow. What a great storm to follow. I’ll be back for this weekend and next weekend though. Let’s reel in a few more shall we .
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Walking off all those Cheetos. Leaves room for celebratory Cheetos .
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Getting some influence from the upper level feature moving in. I call it ULL, Upper Level Love. When it's a well defined and closed ULL, it's double the fun
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Yeah. I watched the whole extended radar loop from the night and you were just missing the good stuff to the south. Hampstead probably cashed it was that close. At least it snowed to break the snowless drought and my god does the long range look sweet. I can't wait to be home for next week. I fly in by Noon Friday and by then, we should be tracking a pretty formidable event or two in the near future. Enjoy the snow with your fam. And you know, that whole football game today