MillvilleWx

Nah. Idk why I mentioned that. I knew that storm was the following winter. Just a complete brain cramp on my part. I got some sleep and caffeine in me this morning, so my mind will be ready to rock and roll by 9am.....tomorrow

10000000% This. This was the pinnacle for a snow season here. We typically get 1/3 of that when it's decent and that doesn't include longer stretches of futility. Weenies these days would've given up hope for most of the 80's and 90's. We've been a heater comparatively. Also, we don't traditionally nickel and dime. A lot of our snow comes from a few events a season. And given our locale, we can cash in on a blockbuster with the best of them along the coast.

Happy Anniversary Katie!!

You are correct in my interpretation of your post. Def not seasonally screwed. My apologies if it seemed like that’s what I thought. I actually thought this was going to be a backloaded winter when I set my forecast in the contest. That’s why my numbers are pretty much around avg for the year. Just really sucks seeing yet another year of December snow chances thrown out the window. I don’t even have skin in the game, and I’m down about it. It’s become a fairytale like the Tooth Fairy, Easter Bunny, and a Cleveland Browns winning season. .

OMG. I'm an idiot. My apologies. I was trying to refer to the one week heater we had in 09-10 and now its dawning on me that I completely screwed that up. I need to get some sleep man There was a heater that winter, but it sure as hell wasn't a snow storm heater. As Homer Simpson would say, "DOH!"

It's never easy seeing the pattern teeter on the edge with no end in sight. Having said that, we have been here before (And in much worse positions too) and we've come out on top in the grand scheme of things. One of the positives I see in all this is the N Hemi is not completely devoid of cold. In fact, this is a prime setup for Siberia to kick it up a notch with cold and snow, which could come in handy down the line if we get some cross-polar flow to open for the second half of the season. Plus, we aren't dealing with a raging ENSO like in 2016 where we literally had to have the stars, moon, and sun align to get the storm we had. This could flip by mid-January and we are off to the races. The key for me is seeing the SJT remain active with storms and the gravity of coastals setting up near 50/50. If that continues for the long term, that will bode well for the second half of the season. It really stings always having to say "Second half...blah...blah...blah", but with shortening wave lengths more common in second half, the prospects of getting "The Big One" go up. Until then, holidays, family, booze, football, and looking for the window to open in the long range. I still like for a normal winter in snow climo and colder 2nd half. Just a hunch! I'm with PSU and I mentioned in my response to Bob. The one silver lining is the main source region of cold will be really dang cold and snowy while the Eastern CONUS sees the ridge in place. Once the flood gates open, it'll take a bit to replenish what is lost upstream, but we've seen this song and dance before. Until then, I'd sit back and enjoy the holidays and all it has to offer.

Just saw the GEFS. Oof. That’s brutal. The western trough is probably a given now. On the deterministic, there was a complex setup of dual s/w pieces on Euro compared to one consolidated trough via the GFS (On 12z at least). Now the long range handling on ensembles for the long wave pattern are virtually identical. There’s no real way to sugar coat it, but the rest of December is looking blank for East of Mississippi. Hopefully this is a temp and a reshuffle happens for second half of prime climo. Still a lot of time to recover. Just sucks that it’s been seemingly years since the MA had any great snow setups in the heart of low-sun angle season. .

I’m more a White Russian fan myself .

The evolution of the H5 pattern on the GFS/ECMWF deterministic is wildly different from each other out west. Until we see some consistency in the evolution of the back to back troughs out west next week, there will be some shifts in numerical guidance as to what occurs for the end of the month. As is the case, GEFS/EPS will be the guidance to use for the next 4/5 days. Things beyond Tuesday are about as clear as mud.

I am. I was seeing the storm slip away looking at models and satellite obs. My dad and I were tracking that sucker for days and we were so excited, only to see the rug pulled hard on Christmas and then the death nail on Boxing Day. I remember him telling me he had a sinking feeling about that one for days. He was right. I was so distraught and my buddy kept texting me the next day. At that time, I never knew about EasternWx, so I followed on Accuweather Forums. Thank god for finding this site, because that place turned into a side show and a half.

True. Weather wise, it's pretty nice out here. Can't complain about that, or great sunsets. As for the area itself.....

It was an amazing time for football. You knew if we could score 13, the game was over with that defense. Offense just needed to do enough and not turn it over.

Got one out for Ithaca, NY right now. Snowing like mad there according to cams. I need to move back east bro

I completely buried that memory, so thanks for bringing it back up . The Ravens thumping Denver on the start of our Super Bowl run certainly is the better memory for that day. That crazy deflection TD for Sharpe is still ingrained in my memory.

Boxing Day is hands down my worst cuz I had a friend who got 3' on the Jersey shore. I have never wanted to cry on missing a storm, but man that was close lol. 2013 was a dagger too. Let's avoid that 'ish for the rest of eternity.

I remember being completely bummed out on Christmas. Was not a good day. Thankfully we cashed in not too long later with the greatest 1 week heater of all time.

As someone who went to Community College for the first few years before 4 year, it was a blessing. I got to stay close to home, get my Gen Eds out of the way, worked part-time and saved like $50k for college by doing so. If anyone reads this and is thinking of going to college, I highly recommend doing this IF AND ONLY IF you know the credits will transfer where you want to go. Do your research and work with an adviser. It's so important and very helpful. Congrats to all in here that have kids graduating or going to college. That's an awesome life accomplishment to say, "I kept this human alive long enough for them to further their education. I deserve a beer!"

It was so nice to see friends and family on my short trip home with my wife. We had a great time. Hopefully a little snow in the morning before we leave later in the afternoon. Feels good to be back east .

Defense was just good enough, but certainly could be better. Offense was cooking with gas

I'll take 3 more of those and a drive that's tough nose with the same result

I'm sure there's plenty of snow in Miami, mainly scattered on coffee tables and the VIP room of Club Heat.

If we can get a meteor to hit the central Pacific, we’d be really talking about a PAC flood .

No kidding. Still a workable pattern for sure. Would like to see that ridge axis over Boise instead of Dodge City with that look. At this point, just seeing some indication of that is a net positive. Heck, it's inside 9 days. We usually don't see this kind of look until Day 12-15 last 3 years.

That is one of the most beautiful -NAO sigs I've seen in a long time. Sucks that it's 8 days away, but you never know....

....... Eh, too easy